Output
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Alpha Bot Daily Run - 2025-11-22 12:00:00 UTC
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Assets: BTC, ETH, SOL, AVAX
LLM: anthropic/claude-sonnet-4-5
📊 Fetching market data (50x 1h candles)...
📈 Calculating technical indicators...
Last run: 2025-11-22 06:00:04
=== ACCOUNT ===
Account Value: $229.44
Margin Used: $65.97 (28.8%)
=== TIMING ===
Current time: 2025-11-22 12:00:05 UTC
Last run: 2025-11-22 06:00:04 UTC
=== MARKET DATA ===
Analysis period: 2025-11-20 10:00 → 2025-11-22 12:00
BTC:
Current Price: $84,401.00
Period Change: -8.19%
Range: $80,424.00 - $92,324.00
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
11-22 05:00: O=$85,000.00 H=$85,776.00 L=$84,263.00 C=$85,153.00 (+0.2%)
11-22 06:00: O=$84,863.00 H=$86,566.00 L=$84,482.00 C=$85,859.00 (+1.2%)
11-22 07:00: O=$85,601.00 H=$86,448.00 L=$84,826.00 C=$84,993.00 (-0.7%)
11-22 08:00: O=$85,830.00 H=$85,917.00 L=$84,232.00 C=$84,299.00 (-1.8%)
11-22 09:00: O=$84,775.00 H=$86,000.00 L=$84,164.00 C=$84,535.00 (-0.3%)
11-22 10:00: O=$84,764.00 H=$85,457.00 L=$83,900.00 C=$83,985.00 (-0.9%)
11-22 11:00: O=$84,208.00 H=$86,243.00 L=$84,000.00 C=$84,796.00 (+0.7%)
11-22 12:00: O=$84,771.00 H=$84,771.00 L=$84,401.00 C=$84,401.00 (-0.4%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 44.3
RSI(14): 45.5
EMA(20): $84,995.07
EMA(50): $86,157.33
EMA Trend: bearish
ATR(14): $1639.17
ETH:
Current Price: $2,727.70
Period Change: -9.35%
Range: $2,601.50 - $3,040.90
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
11-22 04:00: O=$2,750.20 H=$2,750.90 L=$2,725.30 C=$2,741.60 (-0.3%)
11-22 05:00: O=$2,744.10 H=$2,745.90 L=$2,724.40 C=$2,739.80 (-0.2%)
11-22 06:00: O=$2,740.40 H=$2,762.50 L=$2,724.50 C=$2,760.40 (+0.7%)
11-22 07:00: O=$2,762.50 H=$2,762.50 L=$2,749.60 C=$2,751.30 (-0.4%)
11-22 08:00: O=$2,751.00 H=$2,751.40 L=$2,717.00 C=$2,726.10 (-0.9%)
11-22 09:00: O=$2,727.60 H=$2,733.10 L=$2,717.50 C=$2,719.10 (-0.3%)
11-22 10:00: O=$2,722.40 H=$2,726.00 L=$2,679.20 C=$2,707.30 (-0.6%)
11-22 11:00: O=$2,708.80 H=$2,733.80 L=$2,700.60 C=$2,727.70 (+0.7%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 44.3
RSI(14): 44.3
EMA(20): $2,748.80
EMA(50): $2,803.00
EMA Trend: bearish
ATR(14): $43.92
SOL:
Current Price: $126.95
Period Change: -9.20%
Range: $112.56 - $141.92
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
11-22 04:00: O=$127.40 H=$127.61 L=$126.00 C=$127.13 (-0.2%)
11-22 05:00: O=$127.20 H=$127.44 L=$125.68 C=$126.38 (-0.6%)
11-22 06:00: O=$126.42 H=$128.32 L=$125.61 C=$128.32 (+1.5%)
11-22 07:00: O=$128.24 H=$128.66 L=$127.68 C=$128.03 (-0.2%)
11-22 08:00: O=$127.68 H=$127.68 L=$125.71 C=$126.14 (-1.2%)
11-22 09:00: O=$126.09 H=$127.64 L=$125.85 C=$126.65 (+0.4%)
11-22 10:00: O=$126.69 H=$127.36 L=$125.84 C=$126.12 (-0.4%)
11-22 11:00: O=$126.13 H=$127.32 L=$126.13 C=$126.95 (+0.7%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 47.1
RSI(14): 45.1
EMA(20): $127.80
EMA(50): $130.72
EMA Trend: bearish
ATR(14): $2.41
AVAX:
Current Price: $13.27
Period Change: -7.05%
Range: $12.67 - $14.43
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
11-22 04:00: O=$13.27 H=$13.27 L=$13.27 C=$13.27 (+0.0%)
11-22 05:00: O=$13.27 H=$13.27 L=$13.27 C=$13.27 (+0.0%)
11-22 06:00: O=$13.26 H=$13.28 L=$13.26 C=$13.28 (+0.1%)
11-22 07:00: O=$13.31 H=$13.31 L=$13.31 C=$13.31 (+0.0%)
11-22 08:00: O=$13.25 H=$13.25 L=$13.25 C=$13.25 (+0.0%)
11-22 09:00: O=$13.28 H=$13.28 L=$13.28 C=$13.28 (+0.0%)
11-22 10:00: O=$13.28 H=$13.28 L=$13.28 C=$13.28 (+0.0%)
11-22 11:00: O=$13.28 H=$13.31 L=$13.27 C=$13.27 (-0.1%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 46.4
RSI(14): 44.1
EMA(20): $13.30
EMA(50): $13.50
EMA Trend: bearish
ATR(14): $0.06
=== OPEN POSITIONS ===
SOL (SHORT): 1.5 @ $127.93 (Current: $126.95, P&L: +0.77%)
TP: $115.00 (+10.1%)
SL: $131.50 (-2.8%)
Exit Plan: TP at $115.00 targets near the period low of $112.56 with buffer. SL at $131.50 is above the 17:00 rejection high of $130.71, giving 1.5x ATR protection. This provides 3.3:1 R:R ratio ($12.68 gain vs $3.82 risk). Will monitor for break below $125 support to add conviction. Exit manually if price reclaims and holds above EMA20 ($129.46) with strong volume, indicating trend reversal.
=== RECENTLY CLOSED POSITIONS (OLDEST → NEWEST) ===
ETH LONG: 11-19 18:00 → 11-20 02:15 (8.2h)
Entry: $2,920.20, Exit: $3,048.90 P&L: +4.41% ($+7.17) [TP_HIT]
SOL SHORT: 11-20 06:00 → 11-20 16:00 (10.0h)
Entry: $142.33, Exit: $138.34 P&L: +2.80% ($+8.66) [TP_HIT]
BTC LONG: 11-20 18:00 → 11-21 00:00 (6.0h)
Entry: $86,981.00, Exit: $86,772.00 P&L: -0.24% ($-0.74) [MANUAL_CLOSE]
ETH LONG: 11-20 18:00 → 11-21 00:00 (6.0h)
Entry: $2,820.90, Exit: $2,839.20 P&L: +0.65% ($+1.65) [MANUAL_CLOSE]
AVAX LONG: 11-19 18:00 → 11-21 00:00 (30.0h)
Entry: $13.92, Exit: $13.81 P&L: -0.78% ($-1.92) [MANUAL_CLOSE]
SOL LONG: 11-20 18:00 → 11-21 07:45 (13.7h)
Entry: $132.11, Exit: $129.21 P&L: -2.20% ($-2.52) [SL_HIT]
AVAX SHORT: 11-21 12:00 → 11-21 12:26 (0.4h)
Entry: $12.91, Exit: $12.78 P&L: +0.95% ($+1.08) [UNKNOWN]
BTC SHORT: 11-21 12:00 → 11-21 14:35 (2.6h)
Entry: $82,534.00, Exit: $85,000.00 P&L: -2.99% ($-9.15) [SL_HIT]
ETH SHORT: 11-21 12:00 → 11-21 15:05 (3.1h)
Entry: $2,691.31, Exit: $2,785.18 P&L: -3.49% ($-10.68) [SL_HIT]
SOL SHORT: 11-21 12:00 → 11-21 15:05 (3.1h)
Entry: $124.36, Exit: $129.63 P&L: -4.24% ($-8.12) [SL_HIT]
🤖 Getting LLM decisions...
AVAX:
→ SHORT
Reasoning: AVAX shows clear bearish structure: price below EMA20 ($13.30) and EMA50 ($13.50), -7.05% period decline, and extremely tight consolidation at $13.27-$13.28. Recent 8h candles show ZERO volatility (flat candles) which typically precedes directional move. RSI(14) at 44.1 is neutral-bearish. Low ATR ($0.06) suggests coiling for breakout/breakdown. Given: 1) Bearish trend alignment, 2) Price rejection at EMA20, 3) Correlation with BTC/ETH/SOL all bearish, 4) Failed to bounce despite broader market attempts. Entry here with tight stop above $13.50 (EMA50 resistance) targets breakdown to $12.80 support level.
Confidence: 65%
Allocation: 20.0%
Leverage: 3x
Exit Plan: TP at $12.80 targets the lower support zone near period low of $12.67 with buffer, providing $0.47 gain (3.5% move). SL at $13.55 is above EMA50 resistance at $13.50, giving 2.5x ATR protection and accounting for potential wick above resistance. This provides 1.7:1 R:R ratio. Exit manually if price reclaims and holds above $13.50 with volume, breaking bearish structure, or if BTC/ETH show strong reversal breaking their EMA20s.
📊 Position sizing:
Account value: $229.44
Allocation: 20.0% ($45.89 margin)
Leverage: 3x
Current price: $13.27
Size: 10.3800 coins
Notional value: $137.71
📝 Executing SHORT 10.38 AVAX @ 3x with TP: $13, SL: $14
✅ Market order filled @ $13.26
✅ TP order placed (oid: 43745326075)
✅ SL order placed (oid: 43745327404)
BTC:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: BTC is in bearish structure (price below EMA20/50, downtrend confirmed) but showing indecision. Recent 8h candles show choppy price action between $84k-$86k with no clear directional bias. RSI(14) at 45.5 is neutral - not oversold enough for short entry. Already have 28.8% margin used on SOL short. Need clearer setup: either break below $83,900 support for short continuation or reclaim $86,500 with volume for reversal. Current risk/reward unclear in this range.
Confidence: 0%
ETH:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: ETH mirrors BTC's bearish structure (below both EMAs, -9.35% period change) but is consolidating in tight $2,700-$2,760 range. RSI(14) at 44.3 shows neither oversold nor overbought conditions. Recent candles show minimal momentum - last 4 hours all within $50 range. While bearish bias exists, entry here lacks conviction: no clear breakdown below $2,700 support, no volume spike, no divergence. Better to wait for either breakdown below $2,680 for short or reclaim of $2,780 with strength for potential reversal.
Confidence: 0%
SOL:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: Existing SHORT position from $127.93 is working (+0.77% unrealized). Position has proper TP at $115 (3.3:1 R:R) and SL at $131.50. Current price $126.95 is below entry and trending toward TP. Recent 8h action shows failed bounce attempts at $128 resistance, confirming bearish pressure. RSI(14) at 45.1 indicates room to fall further. NO REASON to close manually - TP/SL orders are active 24/7 and will execute. Closing now would realize small gain but miss the full move to $115 target. Trust the setup and let it run.
Confidence: 0%
💾 Database saved: run_id=59
1 order(s) executed
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