Output
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Alpha Bot Daily Run - 2025-11-22 18:00:00 UTC
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Assets: BTC, ETH, SOL, AVAX
LLM: anthropic/claude-sonnet-4-5
📊 Fetching market data (50x 1h candles)...
📈 Calculating technical indicators...
Last run: 2025-11-22 12:00:05
=== ACCOUNT ===
Account Value: $228.45
Margin Used: $110.90 (48.5%)
=== TIMING ===
Current time: 2025-11-22 18:00:04 UTC
Last run: 2025-11-22 12:00:05 UTC
=== MARKET DATA ===
Analysis period: 2025-11-20 16:00 → 2025-11-22 18:00
BTC:
Current Price: $86,042.00
Period Change: -4.22%
Range: $80,424.00 - $91,000.00
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
11-22 10:00: O=$84,764.00 H=$85,457.00 L=$83,900.00 C=$83,985.00 (-0.9%)
11-22 11:00: O=$84,208.00 H=$86,243.00 L=$84,000.00 C=$84,796.00 (+0.7%)
11-22 12:00: O=$84,771.00 H=$85,756.00 L=$83,964.00 C=$84,972.00 (+0.2%)
11-22 13:00: O=$84,997.00 H=$85,546.00 L=$84,053.00 C=$85,391.00 (+0.5%)
11-22 14:00: O=$85,406.00 H=$86,543.00 L=$84,479.00 C=$84,865.00 (-0.6%)
11-22 15:00: O=$84,857.00 H=$86,475.00 L=$84,459.00 C=$85,153.00 (+0.3%)
11-22 16:00: O=$85,408.00 H=$86,221.00 L=$84,466.00 C=$86,201.00 (+0.9%)
11-22 17:00: O=$86,162.00 H=$86,187.00 L=$84,779.00 C=$86,042.00 (-0.1%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 62.2
RSI(14): 53.4
EMA(20): $85,253.08
EMA(50): $85,524.32
EMA Trend: bearish
ATR(14): $1759.66
ETH:
Current Price: $2,734.60
Period Change: -7.41%
Range: $2,601.50 - $2,959.50
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
11-22 10:00: O=$2,722.40 H=$2,726.00 L=$2,679.20 C=$2,707.30 (-0.6%)
11-22 11:00: O=$2,708.80 H=$2,733.80 L=$2,700.60 C=$2,727.70 (+0.7%)
11-22 12:00: O=$2,729.60 H=$2,729.60 L=$2,705.50 C=$2,711.70 (-0.7%)
11-22 13:00: O=$2,711.90 H=$2,721.70 L=$2,704.30 C=$2,709.30 (-0.1%)
11-22 14:00: O=$2,710.60 H=$2,739.90 L=$2,709.80 C=$2,734.30 (+0.9%)
11-22 15:00: O=$2,737.10 H=$2,738.80 L=$2,716.00 C=$2,728.50 (-0.3%)
11-22 16:00: O=$2,727.70 H=$2,750.40 L=$2,727.70 C=$2,749.30 (+0.8%)
11-22 17:00: O=$2,748.70 H=$2,749.70 L=$2,734.60 C=$2,734.60 (-0.5%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 50.3
RSI(14): 45.9
EMA(20): $2,739.88
EMA(50): $2,769.92
EMA Trend: bearish
ATR(14): $36.58
SOL:
Current Price: $127.81
Period Change: -6.45%
Range: $112.56 - $140.28
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
11-22 10:00: O=$126.69 H=$127.36 L=$125.84 C=$126.12 (-0.4%)
11-22 11:00: O=$126.13 H=$127.32 L=$126.13 C=$126.95 (+0.7%)
11-22 12:00: O=$126.88 H=$126.94 L=$125.56 C=$125.96 (-0.7%)
11-22 13:00: O=$126.03 H=$126.49 L=$125.50 C=$125.88 (-0.1%)
11-22 14:00: O=$125.81 H=$127.60 L=$125.81 C=$127.26 (+1.2%)
11-22 15:00: O=$127.60 H=$127.74 L=$126.46 C=$127.32 (-0.2%)
11-22 16:00: O=$127.28 H=$128.86 L=$127.05 C=$128.47 (+0.9%)
11-22 17:00: O=$128.30 H=$128.60 L=$127.50 C=$127.81 (-0.4%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 54.9
RSI(14): 50.4
EMA(20): $127.55
EMA(50): $129.19
EMA Trend: bearish
ATR(14): $2.04
AVAX:
Current Price: $13.23
Period Change: -6.77%
Range: $12.67 - $14.19
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
11-22 10:00: O=$13.28 H=$13.28 L=$13.28 C=$13.28 (+0.0%)
11-22 11:00: O=$13.28 H=$13.31 L=$13.27 C=$13.27 (-0.1%)
11-22 12:00: O=$13.26 H=$13.26 L=$13.17 C=$13.17 (-0.7%)
11-22 13:00: O=$13.12 H=$13.12 L=$13.08 C=$13.09 (-0.2%)
11-22 14:00: O=$13.19 H=$13.19 L=$13.19 C=$13.19 (+0.0%)
11-22 15:00: O=$13.22 H=$13.22 L=$13.21 C=$13.21 (-0.1%)
11-22 16:00: O=$13.18 H=$13.18 L=$13.17 C=$13.17 (-0.1%)
11-22 17:00: O=$13.23 H=$13.23 L=$13.22 C=$13.23 (+0.0%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 51.5
RSI(14): 46.7
EMA(20): $13.24
EMA(50): $13.36
EMA Trend: bearish
ATR(14): $0.06
=== OPEN POSITIONS ===
SOL (SHORT): 1.5 @ $127.93 (Current: $127.81, P&L: +0.09%)
TP: $115.00 (+10.1%)
SL: $131.50 (-2.8%)
Exit Plan: TP at $115.00 targets near the period low of $112.56 with buffer. SL at $131.50 is above the 17:00 rejection high of $130.71, giving 1.5x ATR protection. This provides 3.3:1 R:R ratio ($12.68 gain vs $3.82 risk). Will monitor for break below $125 support to add conviction. Exit manually if price reclaims and holds above EMA20 ($129.46) with strong volume, indicating trend reversal.
AVAX (SHORT): 10.38 @ $13.26 (Current: $13.23, P&L: +0.19%)
TP: $12.80 (+3.4%)
SL: $13.55 (-2.2%)
Exit Plan: TP at $12.80 targets the lower support zone near period low of $12.67 with buffer, providing $0.47 gain (3.5% move). SL at $13.55 is above EMA50 resistance at $13.50, giving 2.5x ATR protection and accounting for potential wick above resistance. This provides 1.7:1 R:R ratio. Exit manually if price reclaims and holds above $13.50 with volume, breaking bearish structure, or if BTC/ETH show strong reversal breaking their EMA20s.
=== RECENTLY CLOSED POSITIONS (OLDEST → NEWEST) ===
ETH LONG: 11-19 18:00 → 11-20 02:15 (8.2h)
Entry: $2,920.20, Exit: $3,048.90 P&L: +4.41% ($+7.17) [TP_HIT]
SOL SHORT: 11-20 06:00 → 11-20 16:00 (10.0h)
Entry: $142.33, Exit: $138.34 P&L: +2.80% ($+8.66) [TP_HIT]
BTC LONG: 11-20 18:00 → 11-21 00:00 (6.0h)
Entry: $86,981.00, Exit: $86,772.00 P&L: -0.24% ($-0.74) [MANUAL_CLOSE]
ETH LONG: 11-20 18:00 → 11-21 00:00 (6.0h)
Entry: $2,820.90, Exit: $2,839.20 P&L: +0.65% ($+1.65) [MANUAL_CLOSE]
AVAX LONG: 11-19 18:00 → 11-21 00:00 (30.0h)
Entry: $13.92, Exit: $13.81 P&L: -0.78% ($-1.92) [MANUAL_CLOSE]
SOL LONG: 11-20 18:00 → 11-21 07:45 (13.7h)
Entry: $132.11, Exit: $129.21 P&L: -2.20% ($-2.52) [SL_HIT]
AVAX SHORT: 11-21 12:00 → 11-21 12:26 (0.4h)
Entry: $12.91, Exit: $12.78 P&L: +0.95% ($+1.08) [UNKNOWN]
BTC SHORT: 11-21 12:00 → 11-21 14:35 (2.6h)
Entry: $82,534.00, Exit: $85,000.00 P&L: -2.99% ($-9.15) [SL_HIT]
ETH SHORT: 11-21 12:00 → 11-21 15:05 (3.1h)
Entry: $2,691.31, Exit: $2,785.18 P&L: -3.49% ($-10.68) [SL_HIT]
SOL SHORT: 11-21 12:00 → 11-21 15:05 (3.1h)
Entry: $124.36, Exit: $129.63 P&L: -4.24% ($-8.12) [SL_HIT]
🤖 Getting LLM decisions...
BTC:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: BTC showing choppy price action in $84-86k range with bearish EMA structure (price below EMA20 $85,253, EMA20 below EMA50). Recent 8h candles show indecision with multiple failed attempts to break higher. RSI(14) at 53.4 is neutral. Period down -4.22% confirms weakness. With 48.5% margin already deployed and recent SL hits on 11-21, waiting for clearer directional conviction. Need either clean break above $86.5k with volume or breakdown below $84k to establish high-probability setup. Current chop is a trap.
Confidence: 0%
ETH:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: ETH in bearish structure (price $2,734 below EMA20 $2,739, EMA20 below EMA50 $2,769) but showing slight stabilization after -7.41% period decline. RSI(14) at 45.9 approaching oversold but not extreme. Recent candles show consolidation in $2,705-2,750 range. However, in downtrend context, oversold doesn't mean reversal - it means potential SHORT continuation. Not entering short here because: 1) Already have 2 short positions (48.5% margin used), 2) Recent SL hit on ETH short 11-21 shows volatility risk, 3) Price near potential support. Waiting for either breakdown below $2,700 for short entry or reclaim of $2,770+ for trend change consideration.
Confidence: 0%
SOL:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: Holding existing SHORT from $127.93, currently +0.09% P&L. Position thesis remains valid: bearish EMA structure (EMA20 $127.55 below EMA50 $129.19), price action respecting resistance. Recent 8h shows failed rally attempt with 17:00 rejection from $128.60. RSI(14) at 50.4 is neutral. TP at $115.00 targets period low zone with strong R:R (3.3:1). SL at $131.50 provides adequate protection above resistance. Trust the TP/SL automation - no need to manually close just because slightly profitable. Exit plan clearly defined: manual close only if price reclaims EMA20 with volume. Current consolidation is expected - let the trade work.
Confidence: 75%
AVAX:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: Holding existing SHORT from $13.26, currently +0.19% P&L. Position remains valid with bearish structure intact (EMA20 $13.24 below EMA50 $13.36). Recent 8h candles show extremely tight consolidation in $13.17-13.28 range with minimal volatility - this compression often precedes directional move. Given bearish trend context and correlation with broader market weakness, expecting breakdown. TP at $12.80 targets support near period low $12.67. SL at $13.55 above EMA50 resistance provides 2.5x ATR protection. R:R at 1.7:1 is acceptable. Trust the automation - tight stops will protect if wrong, but thesis favors continuation lower. Manual close criteria clearly defined in exit plan.
Confidence: 70%
💾 Database saved: run_id=60
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