Output
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Alpha Bot Daily Run - 2025-11-07 12:00:00 UTC
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Assets: BTC, ETH, SOL, AVAX
LLM: claude-sonnet-4-5
📊 Fetching market data (50x 1h candles)...
📈 Calculating technical indicators...
Last run: 2025-11-07 08:00:06
=== ACCOUNT ===
Account Value: $526.44
Margin Used: $0.00 (0.0%)
=== TIMING ===
Current time: 2025-11-07 12:00:04 UTC
Last run: 2025-11-07 08:00:06 UTC
=== MARKET DATA ===
Analysis period: 2025-11-05 10:00 → 2025-11-07 12:00
BTC:
Current Price: $100,253.00
Period Change: -1.42%
Range: $98,594.00 - $104,907.00
Recent 8h candles:
11-07 04:00: O=$101,789.00 H=$101,863.00 L=$101,383.00 C=$101,863.00 (+0.1%)
11-07 05:00: O=$101,860.00 H=$102,308.00 L=$101,857.00 C=$102,236.00 (+0.4%)
11-07 06:00: O=$102,268.00 H=$102,280.00 L=$101,644.00 C=$101,693.00 (-0.6%)
11-07 07:00: O=$101,676.00 H=$101,840.00 L=$101,402.00 C=$101,774.00 (+0.1%)
11-07 08:00: O=$101,841.00 H=$101,914.00 L=$101,265.00 C=$101,294.00 (-0.5%)
11-07 09:00: O=$101,346.00 H=$101,346.00 L=$100,610.00 C=$100,798.00 (-0.5%)
11-07 10:00: O=$100,815.00 H=$101,087.00 L=$100,385.00 C=$100,588.00 (-0.2%)
11-07 11:00: O=$100,635.00 H=$102,330.00 L=$98,594.00 C=$100,253.00 (-0.4%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 24.9
RSI(14): 37.2
EMA(20): $101,423.58
EMA(50): $102,291.26
EMA Trend: bearish
ATR(14): $1021.95
ETH:
Current Price: $3,273.60
Period Change: -1.24%
Range: $3,183.60 - $3,501.40
Recent 8h candles:
11-07 04:00: O=$3,363.20 H=$3,368.10 L=$3,338.00 C=$3,347.90 (-0.5%)
11-07 05:00: O=$3,351.10 H=$3,380.60 L=$3,349.50 C=$3,379.80 (+0.9%)
11-07 06:00: O=$3,378.80 H=$3,384.20 L=$3,363.90 C=$3,363.90 (-0.4%)
11-07 07:00: O=$3,364.00 H=$3,384.60 L=$3,352.60 C=$3,374.60 (+0.3%)
11-07 08:00: O=$3,374.00 H=$3,381.10 L=$3,344.20 C=$3,350.40 (-0.7%)
11-07 09:00: O=$3,351.40 H=$3,375.60 L=$3,302.20 C=$3,312.60 (-1.2%)
11-07 10:00: O=$3,312.30 H=$3,320.60 L=$3,281.50 C=$3,289.40 (-0.7%)
11-07 11:00: O=$3,288.80 H=$3,329.70 L=$3,239.00 C=$3,273.60 (-0.5%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 24.9
RSI(14): 38.5
EMA(20): $3,341.95
EMA(50): $3,380.41
EMA Trend: bearish
ATR(14): $45.05
SOL:
Current Price: $154.21
Period Change: -1.96%
Range: $150.44 - $170.00
Recent 8h candles:
11-07 04:00: O=$157.36 H=$157.39 L=$155.72 C=$156.72 (-0.4%)
11-07 05:00: O=$156.86 H=$158.49 L=$156.86 C=$158.36 (+1.0%)
11-07 06:00: O=$158.55 H=$158.65 L=$157.39 C=$157.44 (-0.7%)
11-07 07:00: O=$157.49 H=$158.32 L=$156.97 C=$158.32 (+0.5%)
11-07 08:00: O=$157.89 H=$158.38 L=$157.43 C=$157.44 (-0.3%)
11-07 09:00: O=$157.53 H=$157.53 L=$154.69 C=$155.13 (-1.5%)
11-07 10:00: O=$155.07 H=$156.06 L=$154.03 C=$154.68 (-0.3%)
11-07 11:00: O=$154.10 H=$154.43 L=$150.44 C=$154.21 (+0.1%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 30.8
RSI(14): 41.8
EMA(20): $156.96
EMA(50): $159.03
EMA Trend: bearish
ATR(14): $2.26
AVAX:
Current Price: $16.41
Period Change: +0.04%
Range: $15.70 - $17.00
Recent 8h candles:
11-07 04:00: O=$16.20 H=$16.20 L=$16.20 C=$16.20 (+0.0%)
11-07 05:00: O=$16.56 H=$16.56 L=$16.55 C=$16.56 (-0.0%)
11-07 06:00: O=$16.70 H=$16.74 L=$16.70 C=$16.70 (+0.0%)
11-07 07:00: O=$16.70 H=$16.84 L=$16.68 C=$16.84 (+0.8%)
11-07 08:00: O=$16.91 H=$17.00 L=$16.89 C=$16.90 (-0.1%)
11-07 09:00: O=$16.81 H=$16.82 L=$16.63 C=$16.63 (-1.1%)
11-07 10:00: O=$16.79 H=$16.83 L=$16.68 C=$16.69 (-0.6%)
11-07 11:00: O=$16.47 H=$16.47 L=$16.34 C=$16.41 (-0.4%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 45.6
RSI(14): 51.6
EMA(20): $16.42
EMA(50): $16.40
EMA Trend: bullish
ATR(14): $0.14
=== OPEN POSITIONS ===
No open positions
=== RECENTLY CLOSED POSITIONS ===
SOL LONG: 11-06 20:00 → 11-07 11:15 (15.2h)
Entry: $157.49, Exit: $153.30 P&L: -2.66% ($-10.35) [SL_HIT]
AVAX SHORT: 11-07 08:00 → 11-07 08:15 (0.2h)
Entry: $16.91, Exit: $16.93 P&L: -0.09% ($-0.48) [SL_HIT]
SOL LONG: 11-06 12:00 → 11-06 16:45 (4.7h)
Entry: $159.33, Exit: $156.02 P&L: -2.08% ($-8.87) [SL_HIT]
AVAX LONG: 11-06 12:00 → 11-06 15:45 (3.7h)
Entry: $16.28, Exit: $15.89 P&L: -2.40% ($-6.38) [SL_HIT]
BTC LONG: 11-05 20:00 → 11-06 15:15 (19.2h)
Entry: $103,782.00, Exit: $100,000.00 P&L: -3.64% ($-39.18) [SL_HIT]
ETH LONG: 11-05 20:00 → 11-06 12:45 (16.7h)
Entry: $3,468.50, Exit: $3,378.30 P&L: -2.60% ($-20.81) [SL_HIT]
SOL LONG: 11-05 20:00 → 11-06 10:15 (14.2h)
Entry: $163.00, Exit: $158.28 P&L: -2.90% ($-20.39) [SL_HIT]
🤖 Getting LLM decisions...
⚠️ LLM returned null confidence for SOL, setting to 0
⚠️ LLM returned null confidence for AVAX, setting to 0
BTC:
→ LONG
Reasoning: BTC showing strong oversold signals with RSI(7) at 24.9 and RSI(14) at 37.2. Price dropped to $98,594 (support zone) and bounced back to $100,253. Recent 11:00 candle showed a $3,736 wick down with recovery, indicating strong buying pressure at lower levels. Trading below EMA(20) $101,423 and EMA(50) $102,291 presents a mean reversion opportunity. After 7 consecutive stop losses, being more selective with oversold bounces.
Confidence: 65%
Allocation: 25.0%
Leverage: 5x
Exit Plan: TP at $104,500 (prior resistance high, +4.2% move, 2.5:1 R:R). SL at $98,000 just below recent low of $98,594 to allow for volatility. Exit early if price fails to reclaim EMA(20) within 8 hours or if RSI fails to break above 50.
📊 Position sizing:
Account value: $526.44
Allocation: 25.0% ($131.61 margin)
Leverage: 5x
Current price: $100,253.00
Size: 0.0066 coins
Notional value: $657.66
📝 Executing LONG 0.00656 BTC @ 5x with TP: $104,500, SL: $98,000
✅ Market order filled @ $100,269.00
✅ TP order placed
✅ SL order placed
ETH:
→ LONG
Reasoning: ETH mirrors BTC's oversold condition with RSI(7) at 24.9 and RSI(14) at 38.5. Strong wick to $3,239 in last candle with recovery to $3,273 shows buying support. Price is below both EMAs creating mean reversion setup. ETH typically follows BTC's direction, and both are showing similar oversold bounce patterns. Correlation with BTC long position managed through smaller allocation.
Confidence: 60%
Allocation: 20.0%
Leverage: 4x
Exit Plan: TP at $3,420 (near EMA(50) resistance, +4.5% move, 2.3:1 R:R). SL at $3,210 below recent low of $3,239. Exit if ETH underperforms BTC significantly or if volume dries up on the bounce attempt.
📊 Position sizing:
Account value: $526.44
Allocation: 20.0% ($105.29 margin)
Leverage: 4x
Current price: $3,273.60
Size: 0.1287 coins
Notional value: $421.31
📝 Executing LONG 0.1287 ETH @ 4x with TP: $3,420, SL: $3,210
✅ Market order filled @ $3,272.30
✅ TP order placed
✅ SL order placed
SOL:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: SOL has been the weakest performer with -1.96% period change and has stopped me out twice recently (last exit at $153.30). While RSI(7) at 30.8 shows oversold conditions, the price action is weaker than BTC/ETH with less convincing bounce structure. The $150.44 low is concerning as it's a significant breakdown. Given two recent losses on SOL and current portfolio exposure to BTC/ETH longs, avoiding additional correlated risk. Will wait for clearer reversal confirmation.
Confidence: 0%
AVAX:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: AVAX is the only asset showing bullish EMA trend and neutral RSI (45.6/51.6), but price action is choppy and just stopped me out 4 hours ago at $16.93. Current price $16.41 is near EMA(20) $16.42 with no clear directional bias. The recent whipsaw action suggests low conviction market. With 45% of account already allocated to BTC/ETH longs, preserving remaining capital for better opportunities. AVAX needs to show clearer trend development before entry.
Confidence: 0%
💾 Database saved: run_id=6
2 order(s) executed
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