Output
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Alpha Bot Daily Run - 2025-11-23 00:00:00 UTC
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Assets: BTC, ETH, SOL, AVAX
LLM: anthropic/claude-sonnet-4-5
📊 Fetching market data (50x 1h candles)...
📈 Calculating technical indicators...
Last run: 2025-11-22 18:00:04
=== ACCOUNT ===
Account Value: $228.49
Margin Used: $110.93 (48.6%)
=== TIMING ===
Current time: 2025-11-23 00:00:05 UTC
Last run: 2025-11-22 18:00:04 UTC
=== MARKET DATA ===
Analysis period: 2025-11-20 22:00 → 2025-11-23 00:00
BTC:
Current Price: $85,440.00
Period Change: -2.24%
Range: $80,424.00 - $88,391.00
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
11-22 16:00: O=$85,408.00 H=$86,221.00 L=$84,466.00 C=$86,201.00 (+0.9%)
11-22 17:00: O=$86,162.00 H=$86,187.00 L=$84,779.00 C=$86,042.00 (-0.1%)
11-22 18:00: O=$85,976.00 H=$86,056.00 L=$84,757.00 C=$84,981.00 (-1.2%)
11-22 19:00: O=$84,981.00 H=$85,127.00 L=$84,860.00 C=$84,956.00 (-0.0%)
11-22 20:00: O=$84,919.00 H=$86,125.00 L=$84,741.00 C=$85,504.00 (+0.7%)
11-22 21:00: O=$85,150.00 H=$85,593.00 L=$84,633.00 C=$85,487.00 (+0.4%)
11-22 22:00: O=$85,498.00 H=$86,342.00 L=$84,658.00 C=$85,677.00 (+0.2%)
11-22 23:00: O=$85,772.00 H=$87,031.00 L=$85,143.00 C=$85,440.00 (-0.4%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 51.9
RSI(14): 47.3
EMA(20): $85,302.16
EMA(50): $85,266.90
EMA Trend: bullish
ATR(14): $1565.18
ETH:
Current Price: $2,755.90
Period Change: -4.32%
Range: $2,601.50 - $2,939.10
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
11-22 16:00: O=$2,727.70 H=$2,750.40 L=$2,727.70 C=$2,749.30 (+0.8%)
11-22 17:00: O=$2,748.70 H=$2,749.70 L=$2,734.60 C=$2,734.60 (-0.5%)
11-22 18:00: O=$2,738.30 H=$2,742.20 L=$2,734.20 C=$2,739.40 (+0.0%)
11-22 19:00: O=$2,739.40 H=$2,739.40 L=$2,735.30 C=$2,739.40 (+0.0%)
11-22 20:00: O=$2,739.10 H=$2,739.40 L=$2,724.50 C=$2,726.90 (-0.4%)
11-22 21:00: O=$2,726.50 H=$2,736.70 L=$2,725.20 C=$2,734.30 (+0.3%)
11-22 22:00: O=$2,732.20 H=$2,739.40 L=$2,714.40 C=$2,738.50 (+0.2%)
11-22 23:00: O=$2,738.70 H=$2,764.80 L=$2,729.30 C=$2,755.90 (+0.6%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 63.2
RSI(14): 48.5
EMA(20): $2,739.65
EMA(50): $2,757.00
EMA Trend: bearish
ATR(14): $29.48
SOL:
Current Price: $127.89
Period Change: -4.52%
Range: $112.56 - $136.61
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
11-22 17:00: O=$128.30 H=$128.60 L=$127.50 C=$127.81 (-0.4%)
11-22 18:00: O=$127.81 H=$128.21 L=$127.62 C=$128.05 (+0.2%)
11-22 19:00: O=$128.02 H=$128.28 L=$127.03 C=$127.53 (-0.4%)
11-22 20:00: O=$127.44 H=$127.73 L=$126.31 C=$126.73 (-0.6%)
11-22 21:00: O=$126.70 H=$127.03 L=$126.40 C=$126.94 (+0.2%)
11-22 22:00: O=$126.94 H=$129.29 L=$126.60 C=$128.70 (+1.4%)
11-22 23:00: O=$128.69 H=$128.70 L=$127.60 C=$127.91 (-0.6%)
11-23 00:00: O=$127.91 H=$127.91 L=$127.89 C=$127.89 (-0.0%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 53.4
RSI(14): 46.7
EMA(20): $127.63
EMA(50): $128.49
EMA Trend: bearish
ATR(14): $1.63
AVAX:
Current Price: $13.23
Period Change: -2.79%
Range: $12.67 - $13.81
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
11-22 16:00: O=$13.18 H=$13.18 L=$13.17 C=$13.17 (-0.1%)
11-22 17:00: O=$13.23 H=$13.23 L=$13.22 C=$13.23 (+0.0%)
11-22 18:00: O=$13.22 H=$13.24 L=$13.22 C=$13.24 (+0.2%)
11-22 19:00: O=$13.23 H=$13.24 L=$13.23 C=$13.23 (-0.0%)
11-22 20:00: O=$13.24 H=$13.24 L=$13.22 C=$13.22 (-0.2%)
11-22 21:00: O=$13.23 H=$13.24 L=$13.22 C=$13.24 (+0.1%)
11-22 22:00: O=$13.25 H=$13.25 L=$13.24 C=$13.24 (-0.0%)
11-22 23:00: O=$13.24 H=$13.24 L=$13.23 C=$13.23 (-0.1%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 50.3
RSI(14): 47.7
EMA(20): $13.24
EMA(50): $13.31
EMA Trend: bearish
ATR(14): $0.04
=== OPEN POSITIONS ===
SOL (SHORT): 1.5 @ $127.93 (Current: $127.89, P&L: +0.03%)
TP: $115.00 (+10.1%)
SL: $131.50 (-2.8%)
Exit Plan: TP at $115.00 targets near the period low of $112.56 with buffer. SL at $131.50 is above the 17:00 rejection high of $130.71, giving 1.5x ATR protection. This provides 3.3:1 R:R ratio ($12.68 gain vs $3.82 risk). Will monitor for break below $125 support to add conviction. Exit manually if price reclaims and holds above EMA20 ($129.46) with strong volume, indicating trend reversal.
AVAX (SHORT): 10.38 @ $13.26 (Current: $13.23, P&L: +0.19%)
TP: $12.80 (+3.4%)
SL: $13.55 (-2.2%)
Exit Plan: TP at $12.80 targets the lower support zone near period low of $12.67 with buffer, providing $0.47 gain (3.5% move). SL at $13.55 is above EMA50 resistance at $13.50, giving 2.5x ATR protection and accounting for potential wick above resistance. This provides 1.7:1 R:R ratio. Exit manually if price reclaims and holds above $13.50 with volume, breaking bearish structure, or if BTC/ETH show strong reversal breaking their EMA20s.
=== RECENTLY CLOSED POSITIONS (OLDEST → NEWEST) ===
ETH LONG: 11-19 18:00 → 11-20 02:15 (8.2h)
Entry: $2,920.20, Exit: $3,048.90 P&L: +4.41% ($+7.17) [TP_HIT]
SOL SHORT: 11-20 06:00 → 11-20 16:00 (10.0h)
Entry: $142.33, Exit: $138.34 P&L: +2.80% ($+8.66) [TP_HIT]
BTC LONG: 11-20 18:00 → 11-21 00:00 (6.0h)
Entry: $86,981.00, Exit: $86,772.00 P&L: -0.24% ($-0.74) [MANUAL_CLOSE]
ETH LONG: 11-20 18:00 → 11-21 00:00 (6.0h)
Entry: $2,820.90, Exit: $2,839.20 P&L: +0.65% ($+1.65) [MANUAL_CLOSE]
AVAX LONG: 11-19 18:00 → 11-21 00:00 (30.0h)
Entry: $13.92, Exit: $13.81 P&L: -0.78% ($-1.92) [MANUAL_CLOSE]
SOL LONG: 11-20 18:00 → 11-21 07:45 (13.7h)
Entry: $132.11, Exit: $129.21 P&L: -2.20% ($-2.52) [SL_HIT]
AVAX SHORT: 11-21 12:00 → 11-21 12:26 (0.4h)
Entry: $12.91, Exit: $12.78 P&L: +0.95% ($+1.08) [UNKNOWN]
BTC SHORT: 11-21 12:00 → 11-21 14:35 (2.6h)
Entry: $82,534.00, Exit: $85,000.00 P&L: -2.99% ($-9.15) [SL_HIT]
ETH SHORT: 11-21 12:00 → 11-21 15:05 (3.1h)
Entry: $2,691.31, Exit: $2,785.18 P&L: -3.49% ($-10.68) [SL_HIT]
SOL SHORT: 11-21 12:00 → 11-21 15:05 (3.1h)
Entry: $124.36, Exit: $129.63 P&L: -4.24% ($-8.12) [SL_HIT]
🤖 Getting LLM decisions...
BTC:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: BTC is consolidating in a tight range around $85k with neutral RSI (51.9/47.3) and price hovering just above both EMAs. Recent 8h candles show indecision with wicks in both directions. While EMA trend is bullish, the lack of clear directional momentum and proximity to both EMAs suggests waiting for a clearer setup. Already at 48.6% margin usage - need to preserve capital for higher conviction opportunities.
Confidence: 50%
ETH:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: ETH showing slight recovery (+0.6% last candle) but remains in bearish structure (price below EMA50 at $2,757). RSI(7) at 63.2 suggests short-term overbought after bounce, while RSI(14) at 48.5 is neutral. Price at $2,755.90 is testing EMA50 resistance. Given bearish EMA trend and recent failed longs (multiple SL hits in history), waiting for either clear breakout above $2,770 or rejection back to $2,720 for better risk/reward entry.
Confidence: 45%
SOL:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: Existing SHORT position at $127.93 is performing as planned (+0.03% P&L). Current price $127.89 is just above entry, consolidating near EMA20 ($127.63). Recent candles show choppy action with 22:00 spike to $129.29 rejected quickly. Position has proper TP at $115 (targeting period lows) and SL at $131.50 (above resistance). No reason to close early - let the position work toward TP. Trust the setup and avoid churning fees.
Confidence: 70%
AVAX:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: Existing SHORT position at $13.26 is working (+0.19% P&L). AVAX showing extremely tight consolidation in 8h candles (range $13.22-$13.24), indicating coiling for a move. Price below both EMAs confirms bearish structure. TP at $12.80 targets period lows, SL at $13.55 above EMA50 resistance. Position sizing is appropriate and setup remains valid. Recent trading shows clean rejection at resistance - let position run to TP rather than taking small profit prematurely.
Confidence: 65%
💾 Database saved: run_id=61
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