Output
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Alpha Bot Daily Run - 2025-11-23 06:00:00 UTC
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Assets: BTC, ETH, SOL, AVAX
LLM: anthropic/claude-sonnet-4-5
📊 Fetching market data (50x 1h candles)...
📈 Calculating technical indicators...
Last run: 2025-11-23 00:00:05
=== ACCOUNT ===
Account Value: $221.63
Margin Used: $44.80 (20.2%)
=== TIMING ===
Current time: 2025-11-23 06:00:04 UTC
Last run: 2025-11-23 00:00:05 UTC
=== MARKET DATA ===
Analysis period: 2025-11-21 04:00 → 2025-11-23 06:00
BTC:
Current Price: $87,937.00
Period Change: +2.22%
Range: $80,424.00 - $88,351.00
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
11-22 22:00: O=$85,498.00 H=$86,342.00 L=$84,658.00 C=$85,677.00 (+0.2%)
11-22 23:00: O=$85,772.00 H=$87,031.00 L=$85,143.00 C=$85,440.00 (-0.4%)
11-23 00:00: O=$85,437.00 H=$86,249.00 L=$84,893.00 C=$85,715.00 (+0.3%)
11-23 01:00: O=$85,715.00 H=$88,000.00 L=$85,423.00 C=$86,794.00 (+1.3%)
11-23 02:00: O=$86,563.00 H=$87,945.00 L=$85,998.00 C=$86,616.00 (+0.1%)
11-23 03:00: O=$86,876.00 H=$87,770.00 L=$86,132.00 C=$86,563.00 (-0.4%)
11-23 04:00: O=$86,811.00 H=$88,351.00 L=$86,476.00 C=$86,968.00 (+0.2%)
11-23 05:00: O=$86,970.00 H=$87,993.00 L=$86,400.00 C=$87,937.00 (+1.1%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 79.5
RSI(14): 67.3
EMA(20): $85,982.21
EMA(50): $85,240.20
EMA Trend: bullish
ATR(14): $1670.96
ETH:
Current Price: $2,809.00
Period Change: -0.09%
Range: $2,601.50 - $2,836.20
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
11-22 22:00: O=$2,732.20 H=$2,739.40 L=$2,714.40 C=$2,738.50 (+0.2%)
11-22 23:00: O=$2,738.70 H=$2,764.80 L=$2,729.30 C=$2,755.90 (+0.6%)
11-23 00:00: O=$2,754.40 H=$2,767.20 L=$2,751.40 C=$2,765.10 (+0.4%)
11-23 01:00: O=$2,765.10 H=$2,801.50 L=$2,757.00 C=$2,797.30 (+1.2%)
11-23 02:00: O=$2,796.60 H=$2,821.10 L=$2,775.60 C=$2,803.10 (+0.2%)
11-23 03:00: O=$2,809.90 H=$2,812.60 L=$2,795.00 C=$2,809.20 (-0.0%)
11-23 04:00: O=$2,808.40 H=$2,822.40 L=$2,802.20 C=$2,814.60 (+0.2%)
11-23 05:00: O=$2,812.90 H=$2,817.10 L=$2,800.10 C=$2,809.00 (-0.1%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 76.1
RSI(14): 63.1
EMA(20): $2,766.93
EMA(50): $2,751.68
EMA Trend: bullish
ATR(14): $28.59
SOL:
Current Price: $130.93
Period Change: -1.44%
Range: $112.56 - $133.15
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
11-22 22:00: O=$126.94 H=$129.29 L=$126.60 C=$128.70 (+1.4%)
11-22 23:00: O=$128.69 H=$128.70 L=$127.60 C=$127.91 (-0.6%)
11-23 00:00: O=$127.91 H=$128.93 L=$127.77 C=$128.19 (+0.2%)
11-23 01:00: O=$128.20 H=$130.03 L=$128.20 C=$129.67 (+1.1%)
11-23 02:00: O=$129.63 H=$131.03 L=$129.38 C=$130.31 (+0.5%)
11-23 03:00: O=$130.30 H=$130.58 L=$129.64 C=$130.07 (-0.2%)
11-23 04:00: O=$130.17 H=$132.18 L=$130.10 C=$130.97 (+0.6%)
11-23 05:00: O=$131.03 H=$131.18 L=$130.48 C=$130.93 (-0.1%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 72.4
RSI(14): 60.3
EMA(20): $128.72
EMA(50): $128.06
EMA Trend: bullish
ATR(14): $1.66
AVAX:
Current Price: $13.38
Period Change: -1.88%
Range: $12.67 - $13.63
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
11-22 19:00: O=$13.23 H=$13.24 L=$13.23 C=$13.23 (-0.0%)
11-22 20:00: O=$13.24 H=$13.24 L=$13.22 C=$13.22 (-0.2%)
11-22 21:00: O=$13.23 H=$13.24 L=$13.22 C=$13.24 (+0.1%)
11-22 22:00: O=$13.25 H=$13.25 L=$13.24 C=$13.24 (-0.0%)
11-22 23:00: O=$13.24 H=$13.24 L=$13.23 C=$13.23 (-0.1%)
11-23 00:00: O=$13.23 H=$13.23 L=$13.23 C=$13.23 (+0.0%)
11-23 01:00: O=$13.23 H=$13.23 L=$13.23 C=$13.23 (+0.0%)
11-23 02:00: O=$13.38 H=$13.38 L=$13.38 C=$13.38 (+0.0%)
⚠️ WARNING: Data is 4.0h old - asset may be inactive
Indicators:
RSI(7): 78.0
RSI(14): 61.9
EMA(20): $13.25
ATR(14): $0.05
=== OPEN POSITIONS ===
AVAX (SHORT): 10.38 @ $13.26 (Current: $13.38, P&L: -0.91%)
TP: $12.80 (+3.4%)
SL: $13.55 (-2.2%)
Exit Plan: TP at $12.80 targets the lower support zone near period low of $12.67 with buffer, providing $0.47 gain (3.5% move). SL at $13.55 is above EMA50 resistance at $13.50, giving 2.5x ATR protection and accounting for potential wick above resistance. This provides 1.7:1 R:R ratio. Exit manually if price reclaims and holds above $13.50 with volume, breaking bearish structure, or if BTC/ETH show strong reversal breaking their EMA20s.
=== RECENTLY CLOSED POSITIONS (OLDEST → NEWEST) ===
SOL SHORT: 11-20 06:00 → 11-20 16:00 (10.0h)
Entry: $142.33, Exit: $138.34 P&L: +2.80% ($+8.66) [TP_HIT]
BTC LONG: 11-20 18:00 → 11-21 00:00 (6.0h)
Entry: $86,981.00, Exit: $86,772.00 P&L: -0.24% ($-0.74) [MANUAL_CLOSE]
ETH LONG: 11-20 18:00 → 11-21 00:00 (6.0h)
Entry: $2,820.90, Exit: $2,839.20 P&L: +0.65% ($+1.65) [MANUAL_CLOSE]
AVAX LONG: 11-19 18:00 → 11-21 00:00 (30.0h)
Entry: $13.92, Exit: $13.81 P&L: -0.78% ($-1.92) [MANUAL_CLOSE]
SOL LONG: 11-20 18:00 → 11-21 07:45 (13.7h)
Entry: $132.11, Exit: $129.21 P&L: -2.20% ($-2.52) [SL_HIT]
AVAX SHORT: 11-21 12:00 → 11-21 12:26 (0.4h)
Entry: $12.91, Exit: $12.78 P&L: +0.95% ($+1.08) [UNKNOWN]
BTC SHORT: 11-21 12:00 → 11-21 14:35 (2.6h)
Entry: $82,534.00, Exit: $85,000.00 P&L: -2.99% ($-9.15) [SL_HIT]
ETH SHORT: 11-21 12:00 → 11-21 15:05 (3.1h)
Entry: $2,691.31, Exit: $2,785.18 P&L: -3.49% ($-10.68) [SL_HIT]
SOL SHORT: 11-21 12:00 → 11-21 15:05 (3.1h)
Entry: $124.36, Exit: $129.63 P&L: -4.24% ($-8.12) [SL_HIT]
SOL SHORT: 11-21 18:25 → 11-23 04:20 (33.9h)
Entry: $127.93, Exit: $131.57 P&L: -2.85% ($-5.46) [SL_HIT]
🤖 Getting LLM decisions...
BTC:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: BTC showing strong bullish momentum with price at $87,937 (+2.22% period, +1.1% last hour). RSI(7) at 79.5 is extremely overbought, indicating potential short-term exhaustion. Price is above both EMA20 ($85,982) and EMA50 ($85,240) confirming uptrend, but the parabolic move from $85,440 to $87,937 in 6 hours needs consolidation. Recent 8h candles show volatility with wicks testing $88,351 high. With 20.2% margin already used and overbought conditions, waiting for either a healthy pullback to EMA20 for long entry or clear rejection at resistance for short is prudent. No position exists, so holding avoids chasing the move.
Confidence: 60%
ETH:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: ETH at $2,809 showing bullish structure (above EMA20 $2,767 and EMA50 $2,752) but consolidating after reaching $2,821. RSI(7) at 76.1 is overbought, though less extreme than BTC. Last 3 candles show tight range ($2,800-$2,817) indicating indecision after the move from $2,755 to $2,821. ETH is lagging BTC's momentum (-0.09% vs BTC +2.22%), suggesting it may either catch up or signal broader weakness. ATR at $28.59 shows moderate volatility. With existing AVAX short position using margin and overbought conditions across the board, waiting for clearer setup - either breakout above $2,825 with volume or pullback to $2,750 support zone for better risk/reward.
Confidence: 55%
SOL:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: SOL at $130.93 in bullish trend (above EMA20 $128.72 and EMA50 $128.06) but showing signs of exhaustion. RSI(7) at 72.4 is overbought. Price rallied from $127.91 to $131.03 but last 2 candles show rejection with small red closes, forming potential double top near $131. Recent trading history shows 3 failed shorts with SL hits, indicating strong bullish pressure that punished counter-trend trades. However, current setup lacks conviction for long entry at resistance with overbought RSI. Need to see either: 1) Breakout above $132 with volume for continuation long, or 2) Clear breakdown below EMA20 $128.72 with bearish structure for short. Current position is neutral - respecting the trend but not chasing.
Confidence: 50%
AVAX:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: HOLDING existing SHORT position at $13.26, currently at $13.38 (-0.91% P&L). Data is 4h stale (last update 02:00, now 06:00) showing flat price action, which is concerning for real-time decision making. However, the position thesis remains valid: AVAX showing relative weakness vs other assets (BTC +2.22%, ETH -0.09%, SOL -1.44%, AVAX -1.88%). The 8h candles before stale data showed extremely tight consolidation around $13.23-$13.24 with minimal volume, then jump to $13.38. Current price is between entry ($13.26) and SL ($13.55), with TP at $12.80 still viable. RSI(7) at 78 suggests overbought conditions that could reverse. Given stale data uncertainty, trusting the automatic TP/SL orders already in place rather than making premature manual close. Position size is small (10.38 units, ~$139 notional), representing manageable risk at 20.2% total margin used.
Confidence: 65%
💾 Database saved: run_id=62
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