Output
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Alpha Bot Daily Run - 2025-11-23 12:00:00 UTC
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Assets: BTC, ETH, SOL, AVAX
LLM: anthropic/claude-sonnet-4-5
📊 Fetching market data (50x 1h candles)...
📈 Calculating technical indicators...
Last run: 2025-11-23 06:00:04
=== ACCOUNT ===
Account Value: $222.41
Margin Used: $45.58 (20.5%)
=== TIMING ===
Current time: 2025-11-23 12:00:05 UTC
Last run: 2025-11-23 06:00:04 UTC
=== MARKET DATA ===
Analysis period: 2025-11-21 10:00 → 2025-11-23 12:00
BTC:
Current Price: $87,174.00
Period Change: +5.79%
Range: $80,960.00 - $88,354.00
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
11-23 04:00: O=$86,811.00 H=$88,351.00 L=$86,476.00 C=$86,968.00 (+0.2%)
11-23 05:00: O=$86,970.00 H=$87,993.00 L=$86,400.00 C=$87,937.00 (+1.1%)
11-23 06:00: O=$87,757.00 H=$88,354.00 L=$86,274.00 C=$86,744.00 (-1.2%)
11-23 07:00: O=$86,665.00 H=$87,310.00 L=$85,821.00 C=$86,935.00 (+0.3%)
11-23 08:00: O=$86,745.00 H=$87,340.00 L=$86,001.00 C=$86,897.00 (+0.2%)
11-23 09:00: O=$86,838.00 H=$87,599.00 L=$86,352.00 C=$87,258.00 (+0.5%)
11-23 10:00: O=$87,321.00 H=$87,876.00 L=$86,413.00 C=$86,778.00 (-0.6%)
11-23 11:00: O=$86,897.00 H=$88,292.00 L=$86,126.00 C=$87,174.00 (+0.3%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 58.8
RSI(14): 56.8
EMA(20): $86,420.83
EMA(50): $85,425.26
EMA Trend: bullish
ATR(14): $1667.78
ETH:
Current Price: $2,805.50
Period Change: +4.38%
Range: $2,632.30 - $2,822.40
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
11-23 05:00: O=$2,812.90 H=$2,817.10 L=$2,800.10 C=$2,809.00 (-0.1%)
11-23 06:00: O=$2,809.00 H=$2,812.80 L=$2,790.50 C=$2,796.80 (-0.4%)
11-23 07:00: O=$2,792.70 H=$2,792.70 L=$2,762.00 C=$2,777.60 (-0.5%)
11-23 08:00: O=$2,780.40 H=$2,806.00 L=$2,780.40 C=$2,798.40 (+0.6%)
11-23 09:00: O=$2,800.10 H=$2,809.40 L=$2,704.30 C=$2,804.40 (+0.2%)
11-23 10:00: O=$2,803.10 H=$2,806.90 L=$2,791.80 C=$2,795.50 (-0.3%)
11-23 11:00: O=$2,796.40 H=$2,808.20 L=$2,792.50 C=$2,801.80 (+0.2%)
11-23 12:00: O=$2,805.50 H=$2,805.50 L=$2,805.50 C=$2,805.50 (+0.0%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 62.0
RSI(14): 58.8
EMA(20): $2,782.53
EMA(50): $2,757.31
EMA Trend: bullish
ATR(14): $29.48
SOL:
Current Price: $130.02
Period Change: +3.35%
Range: $122.08 - $132.18
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
11-23 04:00: O=$130.17 H=$132.18 L=$130.10 C=$130.97 (+0.6%)
11-23 05:00: O=$131.03 H=$131.18 L=$130.48 C=$130.93 (-0.1%)
11-23 06:00: O=$130.87 H=$131.12 L=$129.50 C=$129.67 (-0.9%)
11-23 07:00: O=$129.64 H=$129.73 L=$128.45 C=$129.15 (-0.4%)
11-23 08:00: O=$129.03 H=$130.07 L=$129.03 C=$129.85 (+0.6%)
11-23 09:00: O=$129.89 H=$130.97 L=$129.66 C=$130.34 (+0.3%)
11-23 10:00: O=$130.36 H=$130.43 L=$129.67 C=$130.14 (-0.2%)
11-23 11:00: O=$130.07 H=$130.22 L=$129.34 C=$130.02 (-0.0%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 56.1
RSI(14): 54.5
EMA(20): $129.24
EMA(50): $128.08
EMA Trend: bullish
ATR(14): $1.43
AVAX:
Current Price: $13.29
Period Change: +2.21%
Range: $12.67 - $13.40
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
11-23 00:00: O=$13.23 H=$13.23 L=$13.23 C=$13.23 (+0.0%)
11-23 01:00: O=$13.23 H=$13.23 L=$13.23 C=$13.23 (+0.0%)
11-23 02:00: O=$13.38 H=$13.38 L=$13.38 C=$13.38 (+0.0%)
11-23 03:00: O=$13.38 H=$13.38 L=$13.38 C=$13.38 (+0.0%)
11-23 04:00: O=$13.38 H=$13.38 L=$13.38 C=$13.38 (+0.0%)
11-23 05:00: O=$13.38 H=$13.38 L=$13.38 C=$13.38 (+0.0%)
11-23 06:00: O=$13.38 H=$13.38 L=$13.38 C=$13.38 (+0.0%)
11-23 07:00: O=$13.27 H=$13.29 L=$13.27 C=$13.29 (+0.1%)
⚠️ WARNING: Data is 5.0h old - asset may be inactive
Indicators:
RSI(7): 44.9
RSI(14): 47.5
EMA(20): $13.29
ATR(14): $0.04
=== OPEN POSITIONS ===
AVAX (SHORT): 10.38 @ $13.26 (Current: $13.29, P&L: -0.24%)
TP: $12.80 (+3.4%)
SL: $13.55 (-2.2%)
Exit Plan: TP at $12.80 targets the lower support zone near period low of $12.67 with buffer, providing $0.47 gain (3.5% move). SL at $13.55 is above EMA50 resistance at $13.50, giving 2.5x ATR protection and accounting for potential wick above resistance. This provides 1.7:1 R:R ratio. Exit manually if price reclaims and holds above $13.50 with volume, breaking bearish structure, or if BTC/ETH show strong reversal breaking their EMA20s.
=== RECENTLY CLOSED POSITIONS (OLDEST → NEWEST) ===
SOL SHORT: 11-20 06:00 → 11-20 16:00 (10.0h)
Entry: $142.33, Exit: $138.34 P&L: +2.80% ($+8.66) [TP_HIT]
BTC LONG: 11-20 18:00 → 11-21 00:00 (6.0h)
Entry: $86,981.00, Exit: $86,772.00 P&L: -0.24% ($-0.74) [MANUAL_CLOSE]
ETH LONG: 11-20 18:00 → 11-21 00:00 (6.0h)
Entry: $2,820.90, Exit: $2,839.20 P&L: +0.65% ($+1.65) [MANUAL_CLOSE]
AVAX LONG: 11-19 18:00 → 11-21 00:00 (30.0h)
Entry: $13.92, Exit: $13.81 P&L: -0.78% ($-1.92) [MANUAL_CLOSE]
SOL LONG: 11-20 18:00 → 11-21 07:45 (13.7h)
Entry: $132.11, Exit: $129.21 P&L: -2.20% ($-2.52) [SL_HIT]
AVAX SHORT: 11-21 12:00 → 11-21 12:26 (0.4h)
Entry: $12.91, Exit: $12.78 P&L: +0.95% ($+1.08) [UNKNOWN]
BTC SHORT: 11-21 12:00 → 11-21 14:35 (2.6h)
Entry: $82,534.00, Exit: $85,000.00 P&L: -2.99% ($-9.15) [SL_HIT]
ETH SHORT: 11-21 12:00 → 11-21 15:05 (3.1h)
Entry: $2,691.31, Exit: $2,785.18 P&L: -3.49% ($-10.68) [SL_HIT]
SOL SHORT: 11-21 12:00 → 11-21 15:05 (3.1h)
Entry: $124.36, Exit: $129.63 P&L: -4.24% ($-8.12) [SL_HIT]
SOL SHORT: 11-21 18:25 → 11-23 04:20 (33.9h)
Entry: $127.93, Exit: $131.57 P&L: -2.85% ($-5.46) [SL_HIT]
🤖 Getting LLM decisions...
BTC:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: BTC is in a bullish structure (price above EMA20 $86,420 and EMA50 $85,425) with +5.79% period gain. However, RSI(14) at 56.8 is neutral and recent 8h candles show choppy consolidation between $86k-$88k with no clear breakout. Last 3 candles printed wicks showing indecision. Need clearer directional confirmation - either a break above $88,350 resistance or pullback to EMA20 support for better entry. Current positioning is adequate given market uncertainty.
Confidence: 50%
ETH:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: ETH showing bullish structure (above EMA20 $2,782 and EMA50 $2,757) with +4.38% period gain. RSI(14) at 58.8 is constructive but not overbought. Recent candles show tight consolidation around $2,800-$2,810 with low volatility (ATR $29.48). This tight range suggests coiling for a move, but direction unclear. The 11-23 09:00 candle showed a deep wick to $2,704 that recovered, indicating buying support, but need breakout above $2,822 resistance or clear rejection to act. Risk/reward not compelling at current levels.
Confidence: 45%
SOL:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: SOL in bullish trend (price $130.02 above EMA20 $129.24 and EMA50 $128.08) with +3.35% period gain. RSI(14) at 54.5 is neutral. Recent 8h candles show tight consolidation between $129-$131 after rejecting from $132.18 high. The consolidation near highs is constructive, but given recent trading history (3 consecutive SL hits on shorts during this rally), waiting for either: 1) breakout above $132.20 with volume for long continuation, or 2) clear breakdown below $128 EMA50 for short. Current position offers no edge - too far from support for long, too strong for short.
Confidence: 50%
AVAX:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: MAINTAINING SHORT POSITION. Data is 5h stale (last update 07:00, now 12:00) but position is only -0.24% underwater, well within acceptable range. Current price $13.29 is still below resistance at $13.40 period high. The position thesis remains valid: AVAX is the weakest performer (+2.21% vs BTC +5.79%), showing relative weakness. RSI(14) at 47.5 is neutral-bearish. Stop loss at $13.55 provides adequate protection above key resistance. TP at $12.80 targets support zone. With 20.5% total margin used and stale data, prudent to let TP/SL orders work rather than close prematurely or add risk. Will reassess with fresh data at 18:00 run.
Confidence: 60%
💾 Database saved: run_id=63
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