Output
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Alpha Bot Daily Run - 2025-11-23 18:00:00 UTC
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Assets: BTC, ETH, SOL, AVAX
LLM: anthropic/claude-sonnet-4-5
📊 Fetching market data (50x 1h candles)...
📈 Calculating technical indicators...
Last run: 2025-11-23 12:00:05
=== ACCOUNT ===
Account Value: $222.38
Margin Used: $45.55 (20.5%)
=== TIMING ===
Current time: 2025-11-23 18:00:06 UTC
Last run: 2025-11-23 12:00:05 UTC
=== MARKET DATA ===
Analysis period: 2025-11-21 16:00 → 2025-11-23 18:00
BTC:
Current Price: $86,990.00
Period Change: +4.49%
Range: $82,864.00 - $88,370.00
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
11-23 11:00: O=$86,897.00 H=$88,292.00 L=$86,126.00 C=$87,174.00 (+0.3%)
11-23 12:00: O=$87,174.00 H=$88,370.00 L=$86,774.00 C=$87,175.00 (+0.0%)
11-23 13:00: O=$87,098.00 H=$88,249.00 L=$86,776.00 C=$87,379.00 (+0.3%)
11-23 14:00: O=$87,641.00 H=$88,358.00 L=$86,983.00 C=$87,648.00 (+0.0%)
11-23 15:00: O=$87,773.00 H=$88,358.00 L=$86,993.00 C=$88,111.00 (+0.4%)
11-23 16:00: O=$88,058.00 H=$88,353.00 L=$87,042.00 C=$87,699.00 (-0.4%)
11-23 17:00: O=$87,603.00 H=$87,807.00 L=$86,900.00 C=$87,007.00 (-0.7%)
11-23 18:00: O=$87,007.00 H=$87,007.00 L=$86,990.00 C=$86,990.00 (-0.0%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 46.0
RSI(14): 52.8
EMA(20): $86,933.22
EMA(50): $85,921.34
EMA Trend: bullish
ATR(14): $1428.84
ETH:
Current Price: $2,782.30
Period Change: +2.67%
Range: $2,645.80 - $2,840.50
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
11-23 10:00: O=$2,803.10 H=$2,806.90 L=$2,791.80 C=$2,795.50 (-0.3%)
11-23 11:00: O=$2,796.40 H=$2,808.20 L=$2,792.50 C=$2,801.80 (+0.2%)
11-23 12:00: O=$2,805.50 H=$2,830.60 L=$2,782.70 C=$2,814.80 (+0.3%)
11-23 13:00: O=$2,814.70 H=$2,829.90 L=$2,799.60 C=$2,829.60 (+0.5%)
11-23 14:00: O=$2,830.00 H=$2,840.50 L=$2,788.10 C=$2,801.80 (-1.0%)
11-23 15:00: O=$2,789.80 H=$2,823.00 L=$2,788.50 C=$2,819.90 (+1.1%)
11-23 16:00: O=$2,816.00 H=$2,831.50 L=$2,783.50 C=$2,783.50 (-1.2%)
11-23 17:00: O=$2,789.00 H=$2,794.80 L=$2,774.30 C=$2,782.30 (-0.2%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 42.3
RSI(14): 51.6
EMA(20): $2,790.93
EMA(50): $2,764.68
EMA Trend: bullish
ATR(14): $33.59
SOL:
Current Price: $131.70
Period Change: +4.86%
Range: $123.80 - $133.45
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
11-23 10:00: O=$130.36 H=$130.43 L=$129.67 C=$130.14 (-0.2%)
11-23 11:00: O=$130.07 H=$130.22 L=$129.34 C=$130.02 (-0.0%)
11-23 12:00: O=$130.02 H=$131.81 L=$130.00 C=$131.11 (+0.8%)
11-23 13:00: O=$131.11 H=$131.88 L=$130.77 C=$131.75 (+0.5%)
11-23 14:00: O=$131.82 H=$132.84 L=$130.86 C=$131.04 (-0.6%)
11-23 15:00: O=$131.06 H=$133.45 L=$130.75 C=$133.22 (+1.6%)
11-23 16:00: O=$133.03 H=$133.44 L=$132.01 C=$132.01 (-0.8%)
11-23 17:00: O=$132.05 H=$132.05 L=$131.05 C=$131.70 (-0.3%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 57.3
RSI(14): 59.1
EMA(20): $130.44
EMA(50): $128.73
EMA Trend: bullish
ATR(14): $1.51
AVAX:
Current Price: $13.32
Period Change: +0.88%
Range: $13.08 - $13.40
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
11-23 08:00: O=$13.29 H=$13.29 L=$13.29 C=$13.29 (+0.0%)
11-23 09:00: O=$13.29 H=$13.29 L=$13.29 C=$13.29 (+0.0%)
11-23 10:00: O=$13.29 H=$13.29 L=$13.29 C=$13.29 (+0.0%)
11-23 11:00: O=$13.29 H=$13.29 L=$13.29 C=$13.29 (+0.0%)
11-23 12:00: O=$13.29 H=$13.29 L=$13.29 C=$13.29 (+0.0%)
11-23 13:00: O=$13.29 H=$13.29 L=$13.29 C=$13.29 (+0.0%)
11-23 14:00: O=$13.29 H=$13.29 L=$13.29 C=$13.29 (+0.0%)
11-23 15:00: O=$13.32 H=$13.32 L=$13.32 C=$13.32 (+0.0%)
⚠️ WARNING: Data is 3.0h old - asset may be inactive
Indicators:
RSI(7): 63.2
RSI(14): 67.9
EMA(20): $13.29
ATR(14): $0.02
=== OPEN POSITIONS ===
AVAX (SHORT): 10.38 @ $13.26 (Current: $13.32, P&L: -0.46%)
TP: $12.80 (+3.4%)
SL: $13.55 (-2.2%)
Exit Plan: TP at $12.80 targets the lower support zone near period low of $12.67 with buffer, providing $0.47 gain (3.5% move). SL at $13.55 is above EMA50 resistance at $13.50, giving 2.5x ATR protection and accounting for potential wick above resistance. This provides 1.7:1 R:R ratio. Exit manually if price reclaims and holds above $13.50 with volume, breaking bearish structure, or if BTC/ETH show strong reversal breaking their EMA20s.
=== RECENTLY CLOSED POSITIONS (OLDEST → NEWEST) ===
SOL SHORT: 11-20 06:00 → 11-20 16:00 (10.0h)
Entry: $142.33, Exit: $138.34 P&L: +2.80% ($+8.66) [TP_HIT]
BTC LONG: 11-20 18:00 → 11-21 00:00 (6.0h)
Entry: $86,981.00, Exit: $86,772.00 P&L: -0.24% ($-0.74) [MANUAL_CLOSE]
ETH LONG: 11-20 18:00 → 11-21 00:00 (6.0h)
Entry: $2,820.90, Exit: $2,839.20 P&L: +0.65% ($+1.65) [MANUAL_CLOSE]
AVAX LONG: 11-19 18:00 → 11-21 00:00 (30.0h)
Entry: $13.92, Exit: $13.81 P&L: -0.78% ($-1.92) [MANUAL_CLOSE]
SOL LONG: 11-20 18:00 → 11-21 07:45 (13.7h)
Entry: $132.11, Exit: $129.21 P&L: -2.20% ($-2.52) [SL_HIT]
AVAX SHORT: 11-21 12:00 → 11-21 12:26 (0.4h)
Entry: $12.91, Exit: $12.78 P&L: +0.95% ($+1.08) [UNKNOWN]
BTC SHORT: 11-21 12:00 → 11-21 14:35 (2.6h)
Entry: $82,534.00, Exit: $85,000.00 P&L: -2.99% ($-9.15) [SL_HIT]
ETH SHORT: 11-21 12:00 → 11-21 15:05 (3.1h)
Entry: $2,691.31, Exit: $2,785.18 P&L: -3.49% ($-10.68) [SL_HIT]
SOL SHORT: 11-21 12:00 → 11-21 15:05 (3.1h)
Entry: $124.36, Exit: $129.63 P&L: -4.24% ($-8.12) [SL_HIT]
SOL SHORT: 11-21 18:25 → 11-23 04:20 (33.9h)
Entry: $127.93, Exit: $131.57 P&L: -2.85% ($-5.46) [SL_HIT]
🤖 Getting LLM decisions...
AVAX:
→ CLOSE
Reasoning: AVAX data is 3 hours stale (last update 15:00, current time 18:00) making it unreliable for position management. Current position is slightly underwater at -0.46% ($13.32 vs entry $13.26). More critically, the flat candle data (all showing $13.29 for 7+ hours) indicates potential data feed issues or extremely low liquidity. Cannot properly assess if thesis remains valid without current market data. Risk management dictates closing when unable to monitor properly. The small loss is acceptable given data uncertainty.
Confidence: 85%
Exit Plan: None
📝 Closing position for AVAX (market order)
✅ Market close order filled
SOL:
→ LONG
Reasoning: SOL showing strongest relative strength with +4.86% period gain and clear bullish structure. Price at $131.70 above both EMA20 ($130.44) and EMA50 ($128.73) with RSI(14) at 59.1 showing momentum without being overbought. Recent spike to $133.45 (15:00 candle +1.6%) shows buying interest. Current pullback to $131.70 provides entry opportunity near EMA20 support. Two confirmation signals: 1) Price holding above rising EMAs, 2) Higher lows pattern from $129.34 to $130.75 to $131.05. ATR at $1.51 allows tight risk management.
Confidence: 72%
Allocation: 28.0%
Leverage: 4x
Exit Plan: TP at $137.50 targets previous resistance zone near period high with buffer, providing $5.80 gain (4.4% move, 17.6% return on 4x leverage). SL at $128.80 sits below EMA50 ($128.73) and recent swing low, giving 2x ATR protection ($3.02 risk). This provides 1.9:1 R:R ratio. Exit manually if SOL breaks below EMA50 with volume or if BTC/ETH show significant breakdown invalidating risk-on environment.
📊 Position sizing:
Account value: $222.38
Allocation: 28.0% ($62.27 margin)
Leverage: 4x
Current price: $131.70
Size: 1.8900 coins
Notional value: $248.91
📝 Executing LONG 1.89 SOL @ 4x with TP: $138, SL: $129
✅ Market order filled @ $131.74
✅ TP order placed (oid: 43826937557)
✅ SL order placed (oid: 43826938040)
BTC:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: BTC is in consolidation mode after recent rally, trading just above EMA20 ($86,933) with neutral RSI(14) at 52.8. Recent 8h candles show indecision with wicks and small bodies, ranging $86,990-$88,370. Price is pulling back from $88,370 high but hasn't broken key support. No clear entry signal - need to see either breakout above $88,400 for continuation or breakdown below $86,100 for reversal. With 20.5% margin already used, waiting for clearer setup is prudent.
Confidence: 50%
ETH:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: ETH showing similar consolidation to BTC. Trading slightly below EMA20 ($2,790.93) with RSI(7) at 42.3 indicating short-term weakness, but RSI(14) at 51.6 is neutral. Recent price action shows rejection from $2,840.50 with two consecutive red candles dropping -1.2% and -0.2%. However, EMA trend remains bullish (price above EMA50 at $2,764). Lack of clear directional conviction - watching for either reclaim of $2,815+ for longs or breakdown below $2,765 for shorts. No entry signal present.
Confidence: 50%
💾 Database saved: run_id=64
2 order(s) executed
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