Output
============================================================
Alpha Bot Daily Run - 2025-11-24 00:00:00 UTC
============================================================
Assets: BTC, ETH, SOL, AVAX
LLM: anthropic/claude-sonnet-4-5
📊 Fetching market data (50x 1h candles)...
📈 Calculating technical indicators...
Last run: 2025-11-23 18:00:06
=== ACCOUNT ===
Account Value: $220.33
Margin Used: $60.49 (27.5%)
=== TIMING ===
Current time: 2025-11-24 00:00:05 UTC
Last run: 2025-11-23 18:00:06 UTC
=== MARKET DATA ===
Analysis period: 2025-11-21 22:00 → 2025-11-24 00:00
BTC:
Current Price: $86,778.00
Period Change: +1.25%
Range: $83,900.00 - $89,778.00
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
11-23 16:00: O=$88,058.00 H=$88,353.00 L=$87,042.00 C=$87,699.00 (-0.4%)
11-23 17:00: O=$87,603.00 H=$87,807.00 L=$86,900.00 C=$87,007.00 (-0.7%)
11-23 18:00: O=$87,007.00 H=$88,367.00 L=$86,990.00 C=$87,681.00 (+0.8%)
11-23 19:00: O=$87,616.00 H=$88,374.00 L=$87,243.00 C=$87,996.00 (+0.4%)
11-23 20:00: O=$88,050.00 H=$89,778.00 L=$85,333.00 C=$87,368.00 (-0.8%)
11-23 21:00: O=$87,336.00 H=$87,923.00 L=$87,191.00 C=$87,923.00 (+0.7%)
11-23 22:00: O=$87,924.00 H=$88,068.00 L=$87,490.00 C=$87,918.00 (-0.0%)
11-23 23:00: O=$87,951.00 H=$88,038.00 L=$86,738.00 C=$86,778.00 (-1.3%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 39.8
RSI(14): 50.8
EMA(20): $87,213.71
EMA(50): $86,172.06
EMA Trend: bullish
ATR(14): $1536.88
ETH:
Current Price: $2,786.10
Period Change: +0.52%
Range: $2,645.80 - $2,840.50
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
11-23 17:00: O=$2,789.00 H=$2,794.80 L=$2,774.30 C=$2,782.30 (-0.2%)
11-23 18:00: O=$2,782.10 H=$2,804.60 L=$2,775.60 C=$2,789.70 (+0.3%)
11-23 19:00: O=$2,789.20 H=$2,822.80 L=$2,789.20 C=$2,810.80 (+0.8%)
11-23 20:00: O=$2,800.70 H=$2,821.50 L=$2,800.70 C=$2,816.50 (+0.6%)
11-23 21:00: O=$2,817.00 H=$2,830.30 L=$2,800.80 C=$2,829.00 (+0.4%)
11-23 22:00: O=$2,828.20 H=$2,829.40 L=$2,810.40 C=$2,821.00 (-0.3%)
11-23 23:00: O=$2,822.60 H=$2,823.90 L=$2,751.30 C=$2,786.70 (-1.3%)
11-24 00:00: O=$2,786.10 H=$2,786.10 L=$2,786.10 C=$2,786.10 (+0.0%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 40.8
RSI(14): 52.0
EMA(20): $2,797.76
EMA(50): $2,770.35
EMA Trend: bullish
ATR(14): $31.49
SOL:
Current Price: $130.97
Period Change: +1.42%
Range: $125.37 - $133.82
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
11-23 17:00: O=$132.05 H=$132.05 L=$131.05 C=$131.70 (-0.3%)
11-23 18:00: O=$131.63 H=$133.17 L=$131.63 C=$132.47 (+0.6%)
11-23 19:00: O=$132.43 H=$133.28 L=$132.19 C=$132.71 (+0.2%)
11-23 20:00: O=$132.58 H=$133.10 L=$132.46 C=$132.98 (+0.3%)
11-23 21:00: O=$132.74 H=$133.82 L=$131.81 C=$133.44 (+0.5%)
11-23 22:00: O=$133.50 H=$133.56 L=$132.54 C=$133.02 (-0.4%)
11-23 23:00: O=$133.05 H=$133.06 L=$130.86 C=$131.14 (-1.4%)
11-24 00:00: O=$130.97 H=$130.97 L=$130.97 C=$130.97 (+0.0%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 40.4
RSI(14): 55.3
EMA(20): $131.35
EMA(50): $129.25
EMA Trend: bullish
ATR(14): $1.37
AVAX:
Current Price: $13.29
Period Change: -0.40%
Range: $13.08 - $13.38
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
11-23 11:00: O=$13.29 H=$13.29 L=$13.29 C=$13.29 (+0.0%)
11-23 12:00: O=$13.29 H=$13.29 L=$13.29 C=$13.29 (+0.0%)
11-23 13:00: O=$13.29 H=$13.29 L=$13.29 C=$13.29 (+0.0%)
11-23 14:00: O=$13.29 H=$13.29 L=$13.29 C=$13.29 (+0.0%)
11-23 15:00: O=$13.32 H=$13.32 L=$13.32 C=$13.32 (+0.0%)
11-23 16:00: O=$13.32 H=$13.32 L=$13.32 C=$13.32 (+0.0%)
11-23 17:00: O=$13.32 H=$13.32 L=$13.32 C=$13.32 (+0.0%)
11-23 18:00: O=$13.29 H=$13.29 L=$13.29 C=$13.29 (+0.0%)
⚠️ WARNING: Data is 6.0h old - asset may be inactive
Indicators:
RSI(7): 43.4
RSI(14): 49.9
EMA(20): $13.30
ATR(14): $0.02
=== OPEN POSITIONS ===
SOL (LONG): 1.89 @ $131.74 (Current: $130.97, P&L: -0.58%)
TP: $137.50 (+4.4%)
SL: $128.80 (-2.2%)
Exit Plan: TP at $137.50 targets previous resistance zone near period high with buffer, providing $5.80 gain (4.4% move, 17.6% return on 4x leverage). SL at $128.80 sits below EMA50 ($128.73) and recent swing low, giving 2x ATR protection ($3.02 risk). This provides 1.9:1 R:R ratio. Exit manually if SOL breaks below EMA50 with volume or if BTC/ETH show significant breakdown invalidating risk-on environment.
=== RECENTLY CLOSED POSITIONS (OLDEST → NEWEST) ===
BTC LONG: 11-20 18:00 → 11-21 00:00 (6.0h)
Entry: $86,981.00, Exit: $86,772.00 P&L: -0.24% ($-0.74) [MANUAL_CLOSE]
ETH LONG: 11-20 18:00 → 11-21 00:00 (6.0h)
Entry: $2,820.90, Exit: $2,839.20 P&L: +0.65% ($+1.65) [MANUAL_CLOSE]
AVAX LONG: 11-19 18:00 → 11-21 00:00 (30.0h)
Entry: $13.92, Exit: $13.81 P&L: -0.78% ($-1.92) [MANUAL_CLOSE]
SOL LONG: 11-20 18:00 → 11-21 07:45 (13.7h)
Entry: $132.11, Exit: $129.21 P&L: -2.20% ($-2.52) [SL_HIT]
AVAX SHORT: 11-21 12:00 → 11-21 12:26 (0.4h)
Entry: $12.91, Exit: $12.78 P&L: +0.95% ($+1.08) [UNKNOWN]
BTC SHORT: 11-21 12:00 → 11-21 14:35 (2.6h)
Entry: $82,534.00, Exit: $85,000.00 P&L: -2.99% ($-9.15) [SL_HIT]
ETH SHORT: 11-21 12:00 → 11-21 15:05 (3.1h)
Entry: $2,691.31, Exit: $2,785.18 P&L: -3.49% ($-10.68) [SL_HIT]
SOL SHORT: 11-21 12:00 → 11-21 15:05 (3.1h)
Entry: $124.36, Exit: $129.63 P&L: -4.24% ($-8.12) [SL_HIT]
SOL SHORT: 11-21 18:25 → 11-23 04:20 (33.9h)
Entry: $127.93, Exit: $131.57 P&L: -2.85% ($-5.46) [SL_HIT]
AVAX SHORT: 11-22 12:00 → 11-23 18:00 (30.0h)
Entry: $13.26, Exit: $13.29 P&L: -0.27% ($-0.37) [MANUAL_CLOSE]
🤖 Getting LLM decisions...
BTC:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: BTC showing choppy price action with recent rejection from $89,778 high and latest candle dropping -1.3% to $86,778. Currently below EMA20 ($87,213) but above EMA50 ($86,172), indicating weak bullish structure. RSI(7) at 39.8 shows oversold conditions but in context of recent volatility (ATR $1,536), this could extend lower. No clear entry setup - need to see either: (1) bounce confirmation from EMA50 support, or (2) clean break above $88,500 resistance. With 27.5% margin already deployed, preserving capital is priority.
Confidence: 60%
ETH:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: ETH mirroring BTC's weakness with -1.3% drop in latest candle to $2,786, now below EMA20 ($2,797). However, still above EMA50 ($2,770) maintaining bullish trend structure. RSI(7) at 40.8 shows oversold but not extreme. The $2,750-$2,770 zone (EMA50 + recent low) is critical support. Without confirmation of either bounce or breakdown, no clear edge exists. Recent trading history shows multiple failed shorts getting stopped out - confirms strong underlying trend. Wait for clearer setup rather than forcing a trade.
Confidence: 65%
SOL:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: Currently long SOL at $131.74, now at $130.97 (-0.58% unrealized). Position thesis remains valid: price holding above EMA50 ($129.25) and EMA20 ($131.35) nearby. Latest -1.4% candle brought RSI(7) to 40.4 (oversold), creating potential bounce setup. TP at $137.50 and SL at $128.80 are well-placed with 2x ATR buffer. CRITICAL: Trust the stop loss - it's there to protect capital 24/7. Manual close would be premature given: (1) thesis not invalidated, (2) still in bullish trend structure, (3) oversold RSI suggests potential bounce. Let the position work.
Confidence: 70%
AVAX:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: AVAX data is 6 hours stale (last update 11-23 18:00, current time 11-24 00:00) showing flat $13.29 price with zero volatility across 8 candles. This indicates either: (1) exchange data feed issue, (2) extremely low liquidity, or (3) trading halt. Cannot make informed decisions with stale/suspicious data. ATR of only $0.02 suggests this asset may be effectively untradeable. Recent closed short from 11-22 only netted -0.27% over 30 hours, confirming low volatility/liquidity. Avoid until data normalizes.
Confidence: 80%
💾 Database saved: run_id=65
============================================================