Output
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Alpha Bot Daily Run - 2025-11-07 20:00:00 UTC
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Assets: BTC, ETH, SOL, AVAX
LLM: claude-sonnet-4-5
📊 Fetching market data (50x 1h candles)...
📈 Calculating technical indicators...
Last run: 2025-11-07 12:00:04
=== ACCOUNT ===
Account Value: $572.29
Margin Used: $151.05 (26.4%)
=== TIMING ===
Current time: 2025-11-07 20:00:05 UTC
Last run: 2025-11-07 12:00:04 UTC
=== MARKET DATA ===
Analysis period: 2025-11-05 18:00 → 2025-11-07 20:00
BTC:
Current Price: $103,150.00
Period Change: -0.37%
Range: $97,676.00 - $104,907.00
Recent 8h candles:
11-07 12:00: O=$100,240.00 H=$100,472.00 L=$99,058.00 C=$99,423.00 (-0.8%)
11-07 13:00: O=$99,404.00 H=$100,394.00 L=$99,329.00 C=$100,125.00 (+0.7%)
11-07 14:00: O=$100,125.00 H=$102,421.00 L=$97,676.00 C=$99,923.00 (-0.2%)
11-07 15:00: O=$99,623.00 H=$101,840.00 L=$98,643.00 C=$100,687.00 (+1.1%)
11-07 16:00: O=$100,629.00 H=$101,383.00 L=$100,260.00 C=$100,722.00 (+0.1%)
11-07 17:00: O=$100,661.00 H=$104,000.00 L=$100,360.00 C=$102,228.00 (+1.6%)
11-07 18:00: O=$102,258.00 H=$102,599.00 L=$100,965.00 C=$102,436.00 (+0.2%)
11-07 19:00: O=$102,436.00 H=$103,226.00 L=$102,173.00 C=$103,150.00 (+0.7%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 76.8
RSI(14): 63.0
EMA(20): $101,404.46
EMA(50): $102,037.78
EMA Trend: bearish
ATR(14): $1542.57
ETH:
Current Price: $3,463.70
Period Change: +0.57%
Range: $3,183.60 - $3,529.10
Recent 8h candles:
11-07 12:00: O=$3,272.50 H=$3,279.70 L=$3,217.40 C=$3,230.10 (-1.3%)
11-07 13:00: O=$3,233.00 H=$3,263.10 L=$3,227.80 C=$3,253.20 (+0.6%)
11-07 14:00: O=$3,253.30 H=$3,325.30 L=$3,238.00 C=$3,308.30 (+1.7%)
11-07 15:00: O=$3,302.10 H=$3,343.20 L=$3,188.10 C=$3,315.90 (+0.4%)
11-07 16:00: O=$3,315.90 H=$3,340.60 L=$3,284.90 C=$3,328.80 (+0.4%)
11-07 17:00: O=$3,328.80 H=$3,520.40 L=$3,328.80 C=$3,401.30 (+2.2%)
11-07 18:00: O=$3,400.90 H=$3,529.10 L=$3,400.90 C=$3,461.60 (+1.8%)
11-07 19:00: O=$3,447.10 H=$3,507.70 L=$3,434.90 C=$3,463.70 (+0.5%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 78.6
RSI(14): 65.9
EMA(20): $3,354.99
EMA(50): $3,375.24
EMA Trend: bearish
ATR(14): $70.22
SOL:
Current Price: $164.42
Period Change: +1.47%
Range: $138.99 - $170.00
Recent 8h candles:
11-07 12:00: O=$154.14 H=$154.54 L=$151.41 C=$151.89 (-1.5%)
11-07 13:00: O=$151.98 H=$153.56 L=$151.49 C=$152.75 (+0.5%)
11-07 14:00: O=$152.58 H=$156.80 L=$150.42 C=$151.16 (-0.9%)
11-07 15:00: O=$156.80 H=$162.80 L=$138.99 C=$155.98 (-0.5%)
11-07 16:00: O=$155.57 H=$170.00 L=$154.69 C=$157.08 (+1.0%)
11-07 17:00: O=$157.64 H=$161.64 L=$157.09 C=$161.64 (+2.5%)
11-07 18:00: O=$161.86 H=$163.37 L=$161.37 C=$162.62 (+0.5%)
11-07 19:00: O=$162.48 H=$164.65 L=$161.89 C=$164.42 (+1.2%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 77.9
RSI(14): 66.1
EMA(20): $157.72
EMA(50): $158.65
EMA Trend: bearish
ATR(14): $4.53
AVAX:
Current Price: $17.83
Period Change: +5.71%
Range: $15.70 - $18.50
Recent 8h candles:
11-07 12:00: O=$16.50 H=$16.50 L=$16.21 C=$16.21 (-1.8%)
11-07 13:00: O=$16.21 H=$16.21 L=$16.21 C=$16.21 (+0.0%)
11-07 14:00: O=$16.21 H=$16.21 L=$16.21 C=$16.21 (+0.0%)
11-07 15:00: O=$16.74 H=$16.74 L=$16.74 C=$16.74 (+0.0%)
11-07 16:00: O=$16.82 H=$17.37 L=$16.82 C=$17.37 (+3.3%)
11-07 17:00: O=$17.47 H=$18.50 L=$17.47 C=$18.50 (+5.9%)
11-07 18:00: O=$17.79 H=$17.80 L=$17.79 C=$17.80 (+0.0%)
11-07 19:00: O=$17.87 H=$17.87 L=$17.83 C=$17.83 (-0.2%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 67.0
RSI(14): 66.1
EMA(20): $16.89
EMA(50): $16.48
EMA Trend: bullish
ATR(14): $0.28
=== OPEN POSITIONS ===
BTC (LONG): 0.00656 @ $100,269.00 (Current: $103,150.00, P&L: +2.87%)
TP: $104,500.00 (+4.2%)
SL: $98,000.00 (-2.3%)
Exit Plan: TP at $104,500 (prior resistance high, +4.2% move, 2.5:1 R:R). SL at $98,000 just below recent low of $98,594 to allow for volatility. Exit early if price fails to reclaim EMA(20) within 8 hours or if RSI fails to break above 50.
=== RECENTLY CLOSED POSITIONS ===
ETH LONG: 11-07 12:00 → 11-07 17:30 (5.5h)
Entry: $3,272.30, Exit: $3,481.00 P&L: +6.38% ($+26.86) [TP_HIT]
SOL LONG: 11-06 20:00 → 11-07 11:15 (15.2h)
Entry: $157.49, Exit: $153.30 P&L: -2.66% ($-10.35) [SL_HIT]
AVAX SHORT: 11-07 08:00 → 11-07 08:15 (0.2h)
Entry: $16.91, Exit: $16.93 P&L: -0.09% ($-0.48) [SL_HIT]
SOL LONG: 11-06 12:00 → 11-06 16:45 (4.7h)
Entry: $159.33, Exit: $156.02 P&L: -2.08% ($-8.87) [SL_HIT]
AVAX LONG: 11-06 12:00 → 11-06 15:45 (3.7h)
Entry: $16.28, Exit: $15.89 P&L: -2.40% ($-6.38) [SL_HIT]
BTC LONG: 11-05 20:00 → 11-06 15:15 (19.2h)
Entry: $103,782.00, Exit: $100,000.00 P&L: -3.64% ($-39.18) [SL_HIT]
ETH LONG: 11-05 20:00 → 11-06 12:45 (16.7h)
Entry: $3,468.50, Exit: $3,378.30 P&L: -2.60% ($-20.81) [SL_HIT]
SOL LONG: 11-05 20:00 → 11-06 10:15 (14.2h)
Entry: $163.00, Exit: $158.28 P&L: -2.90% ($-20.39) [SL_HIT]
🤖 Getting LLM decisions...
ETH:
→ LONG
Reasoning: ETH showing strong momentum with +5.7% move from $3,230 to $3,464 in last 8 hours. Price broke above EMA(20) at $3,355 and holding gains. RSI(7) at 78.6 is overbought but RSI(14) at 65.9 still has room. Recent TP hit at $3,481 shows strong resistance there. Entry at current level with TP at prior high $3,529 offers 1.9% gain vs 1.6% stop at $3,350 support (just above EMA20). Lower conviction due to overbought conditions, but trend is strong.
Confidence: 55%
Allocation: 20.0%
Leverage: 4x
Exit Plan: TP at $3,529 (recent high resistance). SL at $3,350 just above EMA(20) support. Exit early if price fails to hold above $3,400 or if BTC reverses sharply from its overbought level.
📊 Position sizing:
Account value: $572.29
Allocation: 20.0% ($114.46 margin)
Leverage: 4x
Current price: $3,463.70
Size: 0.1322 coins
Notional value: $457.90
📝 Executing LONG 0.1322 ETH @ 4x with TP: $3,529, SL: $3,350
✅ Market order filled @ $3,473.59
✅ TP order placed
✅ SL order placed
SOL:
→ LONG
Reasoning: SOL showing recovery momentum after earlier volatility. Price climbed from $151 to $164 (+8.6%) in 7 hours and now consolidating. RSI(7) at 77.9 overbought but price above EMA(20) at $157.72. Recent spike to $170 shows strong buying interest. Entry here with TP at $170 (prior high) offers 3.4% gain. SL at $160 (recent consolidation support) gives 2.7% risk for 1.3:1 R:R - not ideal but momentum is strong. Conservative sizing due to recent SL hits.
Confidence: 60%
Allocation: 18.0%
Leverage: 5x
Exit Plan: TP at $170 (recent high from 16:00 candle). SL at $160 to protect against reversal. Exit early if SOL fails to break $167 within 8 hours or if broader market shows weakness.
📊 Position sizing:
Account value: $572.29
Allocation: 18.0% ($103.01 margin)
Leverage: 5x
Current price: $164.42
Size: 3.1300 coins
Notional value: $514.63
📝 Executing LONG 3.13 SOL @ 5x with TP: $170, SL: $160
✅ Market order filled @ $164.43
✅ TP order placed
✅ SL order placed
AVAX:
→ LONG
Reasoning: AVAX strongest performer with +5.71% period gain and bullish EMA trend (only asset with bullish EMAs). Price surged from $16.21 to $18.50 (+14.1%) in 3 hours, now consolidating at $17.83. RSI(7) at 67.0 cooled from overbought, RSI(14) at 66.1 healthy. Price above both EMAs. Recent failed short shows strong buying pressure. TP at $18.50 (recent high) offers 3.8% gain vs 2.5% risk at $17.40 (above EMA20 at $16.89), giving 1.5:1 R:R. Bullish setup but conservative size given recent volatility.
Confidence: 68%
Allocation: 22.0%
Leverage: 6x
Exit Plan: TP at $18.50 (recent resistance high from 17:00 candle). SL at $17.40 provides cushion above EMA(20) at $16.89. Exit early if price fails to hold $17.70 or if momentum indicators diverge negatively.
📊 Position sizing:
Account value: $572.29
Allocation: 22.0% ($125.90 margin)
Leverage: 6x
Current price: $17.83
Size: 42.3800 coins
Notional value: $755.51
📝 Executing LONG 42.38 AVAX @ 6x with TP: $18, SL: $17
✅ Market order filled @ $17.81
✅ TP order placed
✅ SL order placed
BTC:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: BTC is up 2.87% and approaching our TP at $104,500 (currently $103,150). RSI(7) at 76.8 indicates overbought conditions in the short term. The position is working as planned - let the TP order execute automatically. Manual close would forfeit the final 1.3% move to target and incur unnecessary fees. Trust the system.
Confidence: 75%
💾 Database saved: run_id=7
3 order(s) executed
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