Output
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Alpha Bot Daily Run - 2025-11-08 08:00:00 UTC
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Assets: BTC, ETH, SOL, AVAX
LLM: claude-sonnet-4-5
📊 Fetching market data (50x 1h candles)...
📈 Calculating technical indicators...
Last run: 2025-11-07 20:00:05
=== ACCOUNT ===
Account Value: $554.74
Margin Used: $478.36 (86.2%)
=== TIMING ===
Current time: 2025-11-08 08:00:04 UTC
Last run: 2025-11-07 20:00:05 UTC
=== MARKET DATA ===
Analysis period: 2025-11-06 06:00 → 2025-11-08 08:00
BTC:
Current Price: $102,107.00
Period Change: -0.75%
Range: $97,676.00 - $104,907.00
Recent 8h candles:
11-08 00:00: O=$103,255.00 H=$103,296.00 L=$102,353.00 C=$102,583.00 (-0.7%)
11-08 01:00: O=$102,565.00 H=$103,067.00 L=$102,561.00 C=$102,841.00 (+0.3%)
11-08 02:00: O=$102,851.00 H=$103,161.00 L=$102,537.00 C=$102,687.00 (-0.2%)
11-08 03:00: O=$102,701.00 H=$103,163.00 L=$102,381.00 C=$102,381.00 (-0.3%)
11-08 04:00: O=$102,477.00 H=$102,606.00 L=$102,205.00 C=$102,386.00 (-0.1%)
11-08 05:00: O=$102,368.00 H=$102,550.00 L=$102,107.00 C=$102,140.00 (-0.2%)
11-08 06:00: O=$102,090.00 H=$102,315.00 L=$101,758.00 C=$101,984.00 (-0.1%)
11-08 07:00: O=$102,053.00 H=$102,159.00 L=$101,724.00 C=$102,107.00 (+0.1%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 43.2
RSI(14): 48.6
EMA(20): $102,218.90
EMA(50): $101,865.86
EMA Trend: bullish
ATR(14): $979.17
ETH:
Current Price: $3,487.60
Period Change: +2.57%
Range: $3,183.60 - $3,533.70
Recent 8h candles:
11-08 00:00: O=$3,447.10 H=$3,486.30 L=$3,423.40 C=$3,454.60 (+0.2%)
11-08 01:00: O=$3,433.40 H=$3,516.10 L=$3,433.40 C=$3,464.60 (+0.9%)
11-08 02:00: O=$3,463.30 H=$3,493.70 L=$3,444.60 C=$3,476.60 (+0.4%)
11-08 03:00: O=$3,453.70 H=$3,505.00 L=$3,451.90 C=$3,492.80 (+1.1%)
11-08 04:00: O=$3,482.00 H=$3,533.70 L=$3,463.10 C=$3,471.80 (-0.3%)
11-08 05:00: O=$3,497.90 H=$3,506.80 L=$3,450.10 C=$3,463.70 (-1.0%)
11-08 06:00: O=$3,452.40 H=$3,494.10 L=$3,436.30 C=$3,482.10 (+0.9%)
11-08 07:00: O=$3,461.00 H=$3,509.20 L=$3,443.20 C=$3,487.60 (+0.8%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 66.1
RSI(14): 62.9
EMA(20): $3,439.80
EMA(50): $3,382.41
EMA Trend: bullish
ATR(14): $62.55
SOL:
Current Price: $161.42
Period Change: +0.94%
Range: $138.99 - $170.00
Recent 8h candles:
11-08 00:00: O=$162.19 H=$163.03 L=$161.10 C=$161.44 (-0.5%)
11-08 01:00: O=$161.35 H=$162.75 L=$161.35 C=$162.35 (+0.6%)
11-08 02:00: O=$162.36 H=$164.69 L=$162.36 C=$163.85 (+0.9%)
11-08 03:00: O=$163.87 H=$165.21 L=$163.01 C=$163.12 (-0.5%)
11-08 04:00: O=$162.99 H=$164.05 L=$162.94 C=$163.23 (+0.1%)
11-08 05:00: O=$163.16 H=$163.38 L=$161.58 C=$161.79 (-0.8%)
11-08 06:00: O=$161.95 H=$162.30 L=$160.81 C=$161.69 (-0.2%)
11-08 07:00: O=$161.60 H=$161.75 L=$160.33 C=$161.42 (-0.1%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 46.8
RSI(14): 53.6
EMA(20): $161.06
EMA(50): $158.72
EMA Trend: bullish
ATR(14): $2.82
AVAX:
Current Price: $17.88
Period Change: +9.15%
Range: $15.70 - $18.50
Recent 8h candles:
11-08 00:00: O=$17.93 H=$17.93 L=$17.93 C=$17.93 (+0.0%)
11-08 01:00: O=$17.97 H=$17.97 L=$17.97 C=$17.97 (+0.0%)
11-08 02:00: O=$18.19 H=$18.19 L=$18.18 C=$18.18 (-0.0%)
11-08 03:00: O=$18.12 H=$18.16 L=$17.98 C=$17.98 (-0.8%)
11-08 04:00: O=$17.87 H=$17.94 L=$17.87 C=$17.92 (+0.3%)
11-08 05:00: O=$17.92 H=$17.92 L=$17.92 C=$17.92 (+0.0%)
11-08 06:00: O=$17.68 H=$17.69 L=$17.68 C=$17.69 (+0.1%)
11-08 07:00: O=$17.66 H=$17.88 L=$17.62 C=$17.88 (+1.2%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 55.3
RSI(14): 59.6
EMA(20): $17.60
EMA(50): $16.79
EMA Trend: bullish
ATR(14): $0.18
=== OPEN POSITIONS ===
SOL (LONG): 3.13 @ $164.43 (Current: $161.42, P&L: -1.83%)
TP: $170.00 (+3.4%)
SL: $160.00 (-2.7%)
Exit Plan: TP at $170 (recent high from 16:00 candle). SL at $160 to protect against reversal. Exit early if SOL fails to break $167 within 8 hours or if broader market shows weakness.
BTC (LONG): 0.00656 @ $100,269.00 (Current: $102,107.00, P&L: +1.83%)
TP: $104,500.00 (+4.2%)
SL: $98,000.00 (-2.3%)
Exit Plan: TP at $104,500 (prior resistance high, +4.2% move, 2.5:1 R:R). SL at $98,000 just below recent low of $98,594 to allow for volatility. Exit early if price fails to reclaim EMA(20) within 8 hours or if RSI fails to break above 50.
ETH (LONG): 0.1322 @ $3,473.59 (Current: $3,487.60, P&L: +0.40%)
TP: $3,529.00 (+1.6%)
SL: $3,350.00 (-3.6%)
Exit Plan: TP at $3,529 (recent high resistance). SL at $3,350 just above EMA(20) support. Exit early if price fails to hold above $3,400 or if BTC reverses sharply from its overbought level.
AVAX (LONG): 42.38 @ $17.81 (Current: $17.88, P&L: +0.36%)
TP: $18.50 (+3.9%)
SL: $17.40 (-2.3%)
Exit Plan: TP at $18.50 (recent resistance high from 17:00 candle). SL at $17.40 provides cushion above EMA(20) at $16.89. Exit early if price fails to hold $17.70 or if momentum indicators diverge negatively.
=== RECENTLY CLOSED POSITIONS ===
ETH LONG: 11-07 12:00 → 11-07 17:30 (5.5h)
Entry: $3,272.30, Exit: $3,481.00 P&L: +6.38% ($+26.86) [TP_HIT]
SOL LONG: 11-06 20:00 → 11-07 11:15 (15.2h)
Entry: $157.49, Exit: $153.30 P&L: -2.66% ($-10.35) [SL_HIT]
AVAX SHORT: 11-07 08:00 → 11-07 08:15 (0.2h)
Entry: $16.91, Exit: $16.93 P&L: -0.09% ($-0.48) [SL_HIT]
SOL LONG: 11-06 12:00 → 11-06 16:45 (4.7h)
Entry: $159.33, Exit: $156.02 P&L: -2.08% ($-8.87) [SL_HIT]
AVAX LONG: 11-06 12:00 → 11-06 15:45 (3.7h)
Entry: $16.28, Exit: $15.89 P&L: -2.40% ($-6.38) [SL_HIT]
BTC LONG: 11-05 20:00 → 11-06 15:15 (19.2h)
Entry: $103,782.00, Exit: $100,000.00 P&L: -3.64% ($-39.18) [SL_HIT]
ETH LONG: 11-05 20:00 → 11-06 12:45 (16.7h)
Entry: $3,468.50, Exit: $3,378.30 P&L: -2.60% ($-20.81) [SL_HIT]
SOL LONG: 11-05 20:00 → 11-06 10:15 (14.2h)
Entry: $163.00, Exit: $158.28 P&L: -2.90% ($-20.39) [SL_HIT]
🤖 Getting LLM decisions...
BTC:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: Position is +1.83% and trading just above entry. Price at $102,107 is near EMA(20) at $102,219, showing consolidation. RSI(14) at 48.6 is neutral. Recent 8h candles show choppy price action between $101,724-$103,296 with no clear directional bias. TP at $104,500 remains valid with recent highs at $104,907. Trust the TP/SL orders - no reason to exit manually as thesis (bullish breakout above $100k) remains intact.
Confidence: 65%
ETH:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: ETH showing strongest momentum: +2.57% period change, RSI(7) at 66.1 (approaching overbought but not extreme), price at $3,487 well above EMA(20) at $3,440. Recent 8h candles show consistent upward pressure with higher lows. Position is slightly profitable (+0.40%) and approaching TP at $3,529. Last 2 candles gained +0.9% and +0.8% respectively. No thesis invalidation - ETH is performing as expected. Let TP execute automatically rather than churning for small gains.
Confidence: 75%
SOL:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: Position underwater at -1.83% but within acceptable range. Price at $161.42 is above EMA(20) at $161.06 and EMA(50) at $158.72, maintaining bullish structure. RSI(14) at 53.6 is neutral. Recent candles show consolidation around $161-164 range. SL at $160 is well-placed just below support. Recent highs at $170 validate TP level. No fundamental change in thesis - SOL remains in uptrend. Patience required.
Confidence: 55%
AVAX:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: AVAX showing strong period performance (+9.15%) and position is slightly profitable (+0.36%). Price at $17.88 is above EMA(20) at $17.60 and significantly above EMA(50) at $16.79, confirming strong uptrend. RSI(14) at 59.6 shows healthy momentum without being overbought. Recent candle jumped +1.2% from $17.66 to $17.88. TP at $18.50 (recent high) is reasonable target. With 86.2% margin already used, holding existing positions and letting TPs execute is the disciplined approach.
Confidence: 70%
💾 Database saved: run_id=8
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