Output
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Alpha Bot Daily Run - 2025-12-01 12:00:00 UTC
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Assets: BTC, ETH, SOL, AVAX
LLM: deepseek-chat
📊 Fetching market data (50x 1h candles)...
📈 Calculating technical indicators...
Last run: 2025-12-01 06:00:05
=== ACCOUNT ===
Account Value: $199.59
Margin Used: $48.68 (24.4%)
=== TIMING ===
Current time: 2025-12-01 12:00:05 UTC
Last run: 2025-12-01 06:00:05 UTC
=== MARKET DATA ===
Analysis period: 2025-11-29 10:00 → 2025-12-01 12:00
BTC:
Current Price: $85,883.00
Period Change: -4.27%
Range: $85,334.00 - $91,250.00
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
12-01 04:00: O=$85,975.00 H=$85,975.00 L=$85,346.00 C=$85,459.00 (-0.6%)
12-01 05:00: O=$85,466.00 H=$85,635.00 L=$85,334.00 C=$85,635.00 (+0.2%)
12-01 06:00: O=$85,568.00 H=$85,937.00 L=$85,539.00 C=$85,833.00 (+0.3%)
12-01 07:00: O=$85,784.00 H=$86,101.00 L=$85,618.00 C=$86,030.00 (+0.3%)
12-01 08:00: O=$86,096.00 H=$86,593.00 L=$86,096.00 C=$86,593.00 (+0.6%)
12-01 09:00: O=$86,544.00 H=$86,650.00 L=$86,174.00 C=$86,414.00 (-0.2%)
12-01 10:00: O=$86,477.00 H=$86,521.00 L=$86,053.00 C=$86,328.00 (-0.2%)
12-01 11:00: O=$86,288.00 H=$86,374.00 L=$85,864.00 C=$85,883.00 (-0.5%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 30.7
RSI(14): 31.5
EMA(20): $87,355.91
EMA(50): $88,864.82
EMA Trend: bearish
ATR(14): $951.34
ETH:
Current Price: $2,839.30
Period Change: -5.41%
Range: $2,808.40 - $3,052.00
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
12-01 04:00: O=$2,824.50 H=$2,825.70 L=$2,808.40 C=$2,820.20 (-0.2%)
12-01 05:00: O=$2,822.70 H=$2,831.30 L=$2,811.80 C=$2,827.90 (+0.2%)
12-01 06:00: O=$2,829.30 H=$2,834.60 L=$2,824.00 C=$2,826.10 (-0.1%)
12-01 07:00: O=$2,826.20 H=$2,844.30 L=$2,821.70 C=$2,841.80 (+0.6%)
12-01 08:00: O=$2,839.50 H=$2,844.30 L=$2,833.50 C=$2,839.80 (+0.0%)
12-01 09:00: O=$2,837.60 H=$2,849.00 L=$2,828.90 C=$2,839.40 (+0.1%)
12-01 10:00: O=$2,841.20 H=$2,846.40 L=$2,838.00 C=$2,843.50 (+0.1%)
12-01 11:00: O=$2,843.30 H=$2,848.10 L=$2,836.40 C=$2,839.30 (-0.1%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 29.2
RSI(14): 28.8
EMA(20): $2,891.66
EMA(50): $2,967.19
EMA Trend: bearish
ATR(14): $22.47
SOL:
Current Price: $127.16
Period Change: -6.98%
Range: $125.95 - $140.18
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
12-01 05:00: O=$126.43 H=$126.64 L=$125.95 C=$126.12 (-0.2%)
12-01 06:00: O=$126.07 H=$126.85 L=$126.07 C=$126.78 (+0.6%)
12-01 07:00: O=$126.78 H=$127.46 L=$126.42 C=$127.46 (+0.5%)
12-01 08:00: O=$127.32 H=$127.76 L=$127.03 C=$127.61 (+0.2%)
12-01 09:00: O=$127.58 H=$127.86 L=$126.87 C=$127.01 (-0.4%)
12-01 10:00: O=$127.03 H=$127.57 L=$126.98 C=$127.18 (+0.1%)
12-01 11:00: O=$127.18 H=$127.39 L=$126.93 C=$127.19 (+0.0%)
12-01 12:00: O=$127.15 H=$127.16 L=$127.15 C=$127.16 (+0.0%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 28.5
RSI(14): 28.4
EMA(20): $129.92
EMA(50): $134.38
EMA Trend: bearish
ATR(14): $1.08
AVAX:
Current Price: $12.96
Period Change: -12.76%
Range: $12.96 - $14.86
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
12-01 04:00: O=$14.86 H=$14.86 L=$14.86 C=$14.86 (+0.0%)
12-01 05:00: O=$14.86 H=$14.86 L=$14.86 C=$14.86 (+0.0%)
12-01 06:00: O=$14.86 H=$14.86 L=$14.86 C=$14.86 (+0.0%)
12-01 07:00: O=$14.86 H=$14.86 L=$14.86 C=$14.86 (+0.0%)
12-01 08:00: O=$14.86 H=$14.86 L=$14.86 C=$14.86 (+0.0%)
12-01 09:00: O=$14.86 H=$14.86 L=$14.86 C=$14.86 (+0.0%)
12-01 10:00: O=$14.86 H=$14.86 L=$14.86 C=$14.86 (+0.0%)
12-01 11:00: O=$12.96 H=$12.96 L=$12.96 C=$12.96 (+0.0%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 0.0
RSI(14): 0.0
EMA(20): $14.68
EMA(50): $14.82
EMA Trend: bearish
ATR(14): $0.14
=== OPEN POSITIONS ===
SOL (SHORT): 1.19 @ $126.08 (Current: $127.16, P&L: -0.86%)
TP: $120.50 (+4.4%)
SL: $130.50 (-3.5%)
Exit Plan: Target next support zone around $120 (4.5% downside). Stop loss at $130.50 (3.5% above entry) for 1.6:1 R/R. ATR-based stop: 1.5x ATR = $2.09, placing stop at $128.21, but using $130.50 for key resistance level. Close early if RSI(7) moves above 30 with bullish divergence or price reclaims $130 with volume.
=== RECENTLY CLOSED POSITIONS (OLDEST → NEWEST) ===
SOL LONG: 11-23 18:00 → 11-24 09:35 (15.6h)
Entry: $131.74, Exit: $128.86 P&L: -2.19% ($-5.44) [SL_HIT]
ETH LONG: 11-24 06:00 → 11-24 18:20 (12.3h)
Entry: $2,852.57, Exit: $2,945.80 P&L: +3.27% ($+5.52) [TP_HIT]
SOL LONG: 11-25 12:00 → 11-25 15:05 (3.1h)
Entry: $136.66, Exit: $133.40 P&L: -2.39% ($-3.98) [SL_HIT]
AVAX SHORT: 11-25 00:00 → 11-25 23:20 (23.3h)
Entry: $13.89, Exit: $14.32 P&L: -3.05% ($-5.08) [SL_HIT]
SOL LONG: 11-26 06:00 → 11-26 09:35 (3.6h)
Entry: $139.30, Exit: $136.47 P&L: -2.03% ($-3.25) [SL_HIT]
SOL SHORT: 11-26 12:00 → 11-26 18:20 (6.3h)
Entry: $137.07, Exit: $141.98 P&L: -3.58% ($-5.65) [SL_HIT]
SOL LONG: 11-27 00:00 → 11-28 01:20 (25.3h)
Entry: $143.17, Exit: $140.49 P&L: -1.87% ($-2.86) [SL_HIT]
SOL SHORT: 11-28 06:00 → 11-28 14:35 (8.6h)
Entry: $140.40, Exit: $143.59 P&L: -2.27% ($-2.75) [SL_HIT]
SOL SHORT: 11-28 18:00 → 12-01 00:20 (54.3h)
Entry: $137.15, Exit: $132.27 P&L: +3.56% ($+5.27) [TP_HIT]
ETH LONG: 11-29 18:00 → 12-01 00:20 (30.3h)
Entry: $2,972.50, Exit: $2,930.60 P&L: -1.41% ($-2.10) [SL_HIT]
🤖 Getting LLM decisions...
⚠️ LLM returned null confidence for BTC, setting to 0
⚠️ LLM returned null confidence for ETH, setting to 0
⚠️ LLM returned null confidence for SOL, setting to 0
AVAX:
→ SHORT
Reasoning: AVAX shows extreme bearish momentum with -12.76% period change. Price ($12.96) crashed from $14.86 in the last hour (11:00 candle). RSI readings at 0.0 indicate extreme oversold conditions, but in a crash scenario, oversold can become more oversold. Price is well below EMAs ($14.68/$14.82). The sudden drop suggests panic selling or liquidation event. Entry requirements met: 1) Price breakdown from consolidation at $14.86, 2) EMA trend alignment (bearish), 3) Clear breakdown pattern. ATR of $0.14 is low relative to the move, suggesting potential for continued volatility.
Confidence: 65%
Allocation: 20.0%
Leverage: 3x
Exit Plan: Target next psychological support at $12.20 (5.9% downside from entry). Stop loss at $13.50 (4.2% above entry) for 1.4:1 R/R. Using 1.5x ATR ($0.21) would place stop at $13.17, but using $13.50 for overhead resistance. Close early if price reclaims $13.50 with volume or shows strong bullish reversal with RSI divergence. Given the extreme move, be prepared for potential dead cat bounce.
📊 Position sizing:
Account value: $199.59
Allocation: 20.0% ($39.92 margin)
Leverage: 3x
Current price: $12.96
Size: 9.2400 coins
Notional value: $119.75
⚠️ Skipping AVAX: asset at open interest cap
BTC:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: BTC is in a clear bearish trend with price ($85,883) below both EMA20 ($87,356) and EMA50 ($88,865). RSI(14) at 31.5 shows oversold conditions but in a downtrend, oversold can persist. Recent 8h candles show failed bounce attempts with lower highs. However, price is near the period low ($85,334) and ATR is high ($951), indicating extreme volatility. No clear reversal confirmation yet - need to see a strong bullish candle with volume above EMA20. Current risk-off environment favors caution.
Confidence: 0%
ETH:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: ETH shows similar bearish structure to BTC with price ($2,839) below EMA20 ($2,892) and EMA50 ($2,967). RSI(14) at 28.8 is deeply oversold but in a strong downtrend. Recent candles show consolidation in a tight range ($2,808-$2,849) after the decline, suggesting potential for continuation lower. However, no clear entry signal yet - price needs to break below $2,808 support or show reversal confirmation above EMA20. ATR of $22.47 suggests moderate volatility. Waiting for clearer direction.
Confidence: 0%
SOL:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: Currently have an open SHORT position at $126.08 (current $127.16, -0.86% P&L). Price is below both EMAs ($129.92/$134.38) confirming bearish trend. RSI(14) at 28.4 is oversold but in downtrend. Position has TP at $120.50 (+4.4%) and SL at $130.50 (-3.5%) for 1.6:1 R/R. Recent candles show consolidation around $127 with no clear breakout. The position thesis remains valid: bearish trend continuation to next support at $120. No reason to close early as TP/SL orders are in place and managing risk.
Confidence: 0%
💾 Database saved: run_id=95
1 order(s) executed
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