Output
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Alpha Bot Daily Run - 2025-12-01 18:00:00 UTC
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Assets: BTC, ETH, SOL, AVAX
LLM: deepseek-chat
📊 Fetching market data (50x 1h candles)...
📈 Calculating technical indicators...
Last run: 2025-12-01 12:00:05
=== ACCOUNT ===
Account Value: $202.71
Margin Used: $51.80 (25.6%)
=== TIMING ===
Current time: 2025-12-01 18:00:05 UTC
Last run: 2025-12-01 12:00:05 UTC
=== MARKET DATA ===
Analysis period: 2025-11-29 16:00 → 2025-12-01 18:00
BTC:
Current Price: $84,680.00
Period Change: -4.55%
Range: $83,450.00 - $91,250.00
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
12-01 11:00: O=$86,288.00 H=$86,374.00 L=$85,864.00 C=$85,883.00 (-0.5%)
12-01 12:00: O=$85,868.00 H=$85,876.00 L=$83,988.00 C=$85,055.00 (-0.9%)
12-01 13:00: O=$85,036.00 H=$85,739.00 L=$85,036.00 C=$85,619.00 (+0.7%)
12-01 14:00: O=$85,646.00 H=$86,295.00 L=$85,259.00 C=$85,687.00 (+0.0%)
12-01 15:00: O=$85,613.00 H=$85,687.00 L=$83,450.00 C=$84,000.00 (-1.9%)
12-01 16:00: O=$83,768.00 H=$85,033.00 L=$83,595.00 C=$84,239.00 (+0.6%)
12-01 17:00: O=$84,384.00 H=$84,972.00 L=$84,254.00 C=$84,719.00 (+0.4%)
12-01 18:00: O=$84,680.00 H=$84,680.00 L=$84,680.00 C=$84,680.00 (+0.0%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 36.0
RSI(14): 33.9
EMA(20): $86,070.48
EMA(50): $88,259.06
EMA Trend: bearish
ATR(14): $1016.43
ETH:
Current Price: $2,740.30
Period Change: -8.85%
Range: $2,721.20 - $3,052.00
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
12-01 10:00: O=$2,841.20 H=$2,846.40 L=$2,838.00 C=$2,843.50 (+0.1%)
12-01 11:00: O=$2,843.30 H=$2,848.10 L=$2,836.40 C=$2,839.30 (-0.1%)
12-01 12:00: O=$2,839.50 H=$2,840.00 L=$2,799.90 C=$2,818.10 (-0.8%)
12-01 13:00: O=$2,819.00 H=$2,838.30 L=$2,806.10 C=$2,812.90 (-0.2%)
12-01 14:00: O=$2,812.90 H=$2,831.60 L=$2,808.40 C=$2,820.80 (+0.3%)
12-01 15:00: O=$2,817.80 H=$2,818.70 L=$2,721.20 C=$2,745.10 (-2.6%)
12-01 16:00: O=$2,745.10 H=$2,753.10 L=$2,722.20 C=$2,729.20 (-0.6%)
12-01 17:00: O=$2,731.00 H=$2,752.60 L=$2,731.00 C=$2,740.30 (+0.3%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 19.4
RSI(14): 20.3
EMA(20): $2,837.43
EMA(50): $2,940.61
EMA Trend: bearish
ATR(14): $29.36
SOL:
Current Price: $124.64
Period Change: -9.41%
Range: $123.28 - $140.18
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
12-01 10:00: O=$127.03 H=$127.57 L=$126.98 C=$127.18 (+0.1%)
12-01 11:00: O=$127.18 H=$127.39 L=$126.93 C=$127.19 (+0.0%)
12-01 12:00: O=$127.15 H=$127.22 L=$125.65 C=$126.54 (-0.5%)
12-01 13:00: O=$126.65 H=$127.66 L=$126.27 C=$126.47 (-0.1%)
12-01 14:00: O=$126.50 H=$126.94 L=$125.68 C=$126.27 (-0.2%)
12-01 15:00: O=$126.17 H=$126.28 L=$123.28 C=$125.21 (-0.8%)
12-01 16:00: O=$125.07 H=$125.26 L=$123.50 C=$123.50 (-1.3%)
12-01 17:00: O=$123.93 H=$124.92 L=$123.71 C=$124.64 (+0.6%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 29.3
RSI(14): 25.7
EMA(20): $127.97
EMA(50): $133.26
EMA Trend: bearish
ATR(14): $1.38
AVAX:
Current Price: $12.96
Period Change: -12.76%
Range: $12.96 - $14.86
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
12-01 04:00: O=$14.86 H=$14.86 L=$14.86 C=$14.86 (+0.0%)
12-01 05:00: O=$14.86 H=$14.86 L=$14.86 C=$14.86 (+0.0%)
12-01 06:00: O=$14.86 H=$14.86 L=$14.86 C=$14.86 (+0.0%)
12-01 07:00: O=$14.86 H=$14.86 L=$14.86 C=$14.86 (+0.0%)
12-01 08:00: O=$14.86 H=$14.86 L=$14.86 C=$14.86 (+0.0%)
12-01 09:00: O=$14.86 H=$14.86 L=$14.86 C=$14.86 (+0.0%)
12-01 10:00: O=$14.86 H=$14.86 L=$14.86 C=$14.86 (+0.0%)
12-01 11:00: O=$12.96 H=$12.96 L=$12.96 C=$12.96 (+0.0%)
⚠️ WARNING: Data is 7.0h old - asset may be inactive
Indicators:
RSI(7): 0.0
RSI(14): 0.0
EMA(20): $14.68
ATR(14): $0.14
=== OPEN POSITIONS ===
SOL (SHORT): 1.19 @ $126.08 (Current: $124.64, P&L: +1.14%)
TP: $120.50 (+4.4%)
SL: $130.50 (-3.5%)
Exit Plan: Target next support zone around $120 (4.5% downside). Stop loss at $130.50 (3.5% above entry) for 1.6:1 R/R. ATR-based stop: 1.5x ATR = $2.09, placing stop at $128.21, but using $130.50 for key resistance level. Close early if RSI(7) moves above 30 with bullish divergence or price reclaims $130 with volume.
=== RECENTLY CLOSED POSITIONS (OLDEST → NEWEST) ===
SOL LONG: 11-23 18:00 → 11-24 09:35 (15.6h)
Entry: $131.74, Exit: $128.86 P&L: -2.19% ($-5.44) [SL_HIT]
ETH LONG: 11-24 06:00 → 11-24 18:20 (12.3h)
Entry: $2,852.57, Exit: $2,945.80 P&L: +3.27% ($+5.52) [TP_HIT]
SOL LONG: 11-25 12:00 → 11-25 15:05 (3.1h)
Entry: $136.66, Exit: $133.40 P&L: -2.39% ($-3.98) [SL_HIT]
AVAX SHORT: 11-25 00:00 → 11-25 23:20 (23.3h)
Entry: $13.89, Exit: $14.32 P&L: -3.05% ($-5.08) [SL_HIT]
SOL LONG: 11-26 06:00 → 11-26 09:35 (3.6h)
Entry: $139.30, Exit: $136.47 P&L: -2.03% ($-3.25) [SL_HIT]
SOL SHORT: 11-26 12:00 → 11-26 18:20 (6.3h)
Entry: $137.07, Exit: $141.98 P&L: -3.58% ($-5.65) [SL_HIT]
SOL LONG: 11-27 00:00 → 11-28 01:20 (25.3h)
Entry: $143.17, Exit: $140.49 P&L: -1.87% ($-2.86) [SL_HIT]
SOL SHORT: 11-28 06:00 → 11-28 14:35 (8.6h)
Entry: $140.40, Exit: $143.59 P&L: -2.27% ($-2.75) [SL_HIT]
SOL SHORT: 11-28 18:00 → 12-01 00:20 (54.3h)
Entry: $137.15, Exit: $132.27 P&L: +3.56% ($+5.27) [TP_HIT]
ETH LONG: 11-29 18:00 → 12-01 00:20 (30.3h)
Entry: $2,972.50, Exit: $2,930.60 P&L: -1.41% ($-2.10) [SL_HIT]
🤖 Getting LLM decisions...
⚠️ LLM returned null confidence for BTC, setting to 0
⚠️ LLM returned null confidence for SOL, setting to 0
⚠️ LLM returned null confidence for AVAX, setting to 0
ETH:
→ SHORT
Reasoning: ETH is in strong bearish trend with price ($2,740) significantly below EMA20 ($2,837) and EMA50 ($2,941). RSI(14) at 20.3 shows extreme oversold, but in a downtrend this can indicate continuation. Price broke below key support at $2,800 with -8.85% period decline. ATR at $29.36 suggests moderate volatility. Bearish EMA alignment + breakdown + oversold RSI in downtrend provides 3 entry signals. Risk-on: short with trend.
Confidence: 75%
Allocation: 25.0%
Leverage: 3x
Exit Plan: Target next support zone at $2,600 (5.1% downside). Stop loss at $2,850 (4.0% above entry) for 1.28:1 R/R. ATR-based stop: 1.5x ATR = $44.04, placing stop at $2,784.34, but using $2,850 for key resistance level. Close early if RSI(7) moves above 25 with bullish divergence or price reclaims $2,850 with volume. Monitor BTC correlation.
📊 Position sizing:
Account value: $202.71
Allocation: 25.0% ($50.68 margin)
Leverage: 3x
Current price: $2,740.30
Size: 0.0555 coins
Notional value: $152.09
📝 Executing SHORT 0.0555 ETH @ 3x with TP: $2,600, SL: $2,850
✅ Market order filled @ $2,742.80
✅ TP order placed (oid: 44279324092)
✅ SL order placed (oid: 44279324599)
BTC:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: BTC shows strong bearish momentum with price below both EMA20 ($86,070) and EMA50 ($88,259), RSI(14) at 33.9 indicating oversold but not extreme. Recent candles show continued selling pressure with a -4.55% period decline. No clear reversal signals yet - price needs to reclaim EMA20 with volume for bullish reversal. Current downtrend suggests waiting for better risk/reward entry.
Confidence: 0%
SOL:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: Already have SHORT position open at $126.08 (current $124.64, +1.14% P&L). Position is profitable with TP at $120.50 and SL at $130.50. Current analysis confirms bearish thesis: price below EMA20 ($127.97) and EMA50 ($133.26), RSI(14) at 25.7 oversold, -9.41% period decline. No reason to close early - let TP/SL execute automatically. Thesis remains valid: downtrend continuation toward $120 support.
Confidence: 0%
AVAX:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: AVAX data is 7 hours old with suspicious flat candles - likely illiquid or data issue. Price shows -12.76% period decline but cannot trust stale data. EMA20 at $14.68 vs current $12.96 suggests bearish trend if accurate. RSI readings at 0.0 indicate data problems. Cannot make reliable trade decision with unreliable data. Wait for fresh data before considering any position.
Confidence: 0%
💾 Database saved: run_id=96
1 order(s) executed
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