Output
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Alpha Bot Daily Run - 2025-12-02 12:00:00 UTC
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Assets: BTC, ETH, SOL, AVAX
LLM: deepseek-chat
📊 Fetching market data (50x 1h candles)...
📈 Calculating technical indicators...
Last run: 2025-12-02 06:00:04
=== ACCOUNT ===
Account Value: $193.65
Margin Used: $93.48 (48.3%)
=== TIMING ===
Current time: 2025-12-02 12:00:05 UTC
Last run: 2025-12-02 06:00:04 UTC
=== MARKET DATA ===
Analysis period: 2025-11-30 10:00 → 2025-12-02 12:00
BTC:
Current Price: $86,996.00
Period Change: -2.43%
Range: $83,450.00 - $91,250.00
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
12-02 04:00: O=$85,943.00 H=$86,907.00 L=$85,759.00 C=$86,626.00 (+0.8%)
12-02 05:00: O=$86,585.00 H=$86,753.00 L=$86,459.00 C=$86,619.00 (+0.0%)
12-02 06:00: O=$86,629.00 H=$86,737.00 L=$86,492.00 C=$86,605.00 (-0.0%)
12-02 07:00: O=$86,640.00 H=$86,672.00 L=$86,409.00 C=$86,532.00 (-0.1%)
12-02 08:00: O=$86,604.00 H=$86,787.00 L=$86,117.00 C=$86,144.00 (-0.5%)
12-02 09:00: O=$86,181.00 H=$86,650.00 L=$86,181.00 C=$86,463.00 (+0.3%)
12-02 10:00: O=$86,496.00 H=$87,286.00 L=$86,440.00 C=$87,286.00 (+0.9%)
12-02 11:00: O=$86,989.00 H=$87,207.00 L=$86,709.00 C=$86,996.00 (+0.0%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 62.1
RSI(14): 55.1
EMA(20): $86,403.19
EMA(50): $87,148.98
EMA Trend: bearish
ATR(14): $752.13
ETH:
Current Price: $2,824.00
Period Change: -6.17%
Range: $2,721.20 - $3,052.00
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
12-02 04:00: O=$2,805.80 H=$2,812.40 L=$2,804.40 C=$2,805.20 (-0.0%)
12-02 05:00: O=$2,805.20 H=$2,806.80 L=$2,797.60 C=$2,802.90 (-0.1%)
12-02 06:00: O=$2,803.90 H=$2,815.40 L=$2,798.90 C=$2,812.70 (+0.3%)
12-02 07:00: O=$2,813.10 H=$2,813.10 L=$2,803.70 C=$2,806.10 (-0.2%)
12-02 08:00: O=$2,806.10 H=$2,806.10 L=$2,783.00 C=$2,797.50 (-0.3%)
12-02 09:00: O=$2,799.80 H=$2,810.10 L=$2,797.40 C=$2,798.60 (-0.0%)
12-02 10:00: O=$2,797.90 H=$2,831.20 L=$2,797.90 C=$2,823.20 (+0.9%)
12-02 11:00: O=$2,827.20 H=$2,828.20 L=$2,816.90 C=$2,824.00 (-0.1%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 68.4
RSI(14): 52.0
EMA(20): $2,810.18
EMA(50): $2,867.71
EMA Trend: bearish
ATR(14): $22.10
SOL:
Current Price: $128.26
Period Change: -6.32%
Range: $123.28 - $140.18
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
12-02 04:00: O=$127.34 H=$127.86 L=$126.92 C=$126.94 (-0.3%)
12-02 05:00: O=$126.92 H=$127.09 L=$126.55 C=$126.78 (-0.1%)
12-02 06:00: O=$126.81 H=$127.88 L=$126.59 C=$127.76 (+0.7%)
12-02 07:00: O=$127.66 H=$127.66 L=$127.02 C=$127.26 (-0.3%)
12-02 08:00: O=$127.29 H=$127.29 L=$126.00 C=$126.16 (-0.9%)
12-02 09:00: O=$126.17 H=$127.12 L=$126.17 C=$126.85 (+0.5%)
12-02 10:00: O=$126.77 H=$128.62 L=$126.74 C=$128.30 (+1.2%)
12-02 11:00: O=$128.34 H=$128.44 L=$127.85 C=$128.26 (-0.1%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 63.9
RSI(14): 54.2
EMA(20): $127.30
EMA(50): $129.74
EMA Trend: bearish
ATR(14): $1.24
AVAX:
Current Price: $12.91
Period Change: -13.10%
Range: $12.62 - $14.86
Recent 8h candles (OLDEST → NEWEST):
12-02 04:00: O=$12.89 H=$12.89 L=$12.89 C=$12.89 (+0.0%)
12-02 05:00: O=$12.89 H=$12.89 L=$12.89 C=$12.89 (+0.0%)
12-02 06:00: O=$12.89 H=$12.89 L=$12.89 C=$12.89 (+0.0%)
12-02 07:00: O=$12.89 H=$12.89 L=$12.89 C=$12.89 (+0.0%)
12-02 08:00: O=$12.89 H=$12.89 L=$12.89 C=$12.89 (+0.0%)
12-02 09:00: O=$12.89 H=$12.89 L=$12.89 C=$12.89 (+0.0%)
12-02 10:00: O=$12.89 H=$12.89 L=$12.89 C=$12.89 (+0.0%)
12-02 11:00: O=$12.91 H=$12.91 L=$12.91 C=$12.91 (+0.0%)
Indicators:
RSI(7): 44.4
RSI(14): 21.9
EMA(20): $13.04
EMA(50): $13.87
EMA Trend: bearish
ATR(14): $0.04
=== OPEN POSITIONS ===
SOL (SHORT): 1.19 @ $126.08 (Current: $128.26, P&L: -1.73%)
TP: $120.50 (+4.4%)
SL: $130.50 (-3.5%)
Exit Plan: Target next support zone around $120 (4.5% downside). Stop loss at $130.50 (3.5% above entry) for 1.6:1 R/R. ATR-based stop: 1.5x ATR = $2.09, placing stop at $128.21, but using $130.50 for key resistance level. Close early if RSI(7) moves above 30 with bullish divergence or price reclaims $130 with volume.
ETH (SHORT): 0.0555 @ $2,742.80 (Current: $2,824.00, P&L: -2.96%)
TP: $2,600.00 (+5.2%)
SL: $2,850.00 (-3.9%)
Exit Plan: Target next support zone at $2,600 (5.1% downside). Stop loss at $2,850 (4.0% above entry) for 1.28:1 R/R. ATR-based stop: 1.5x ATR = $44.04, placing stop at $2,784.34, but using $2,850 for key resistance level. Close early if RSI(7) moves above 25 with bullish divergence or price reclaims $2,850 with volume. Monitor BTC correlation.
=== RECENTLY CLOSED POSITIONS (OLDEST → NEWEST) ===
SOL LONG: 11-23 18:00 → 11-24 09:35 (15.6h)
Entry: $131.74, Exit: $128.86 P&L: -2.19% ($-5.44) [SL_HIT]
ETH LONG: 11-24 06:00 → 11-24 18:20 (12.3h)
Entry: $2,852.57, Exit: $2,945.80 P&L: +3.27% ($+5.52) [TP_HIT]
SOL LONG: 11-25 12:00 → 11-25 15:05 (3.1h)
Entry: $136.66, Exit: $133.40 P&L: -2.39% ($-3.98) [SL_HIT]
AVAX SHORT: 11-25 00:00 → 11-25 23:20 (23.3h)
Entry: $13.89, Exit: $14.32 P&L: -3.05% ($-5.08) [SL_HIT]
SOL LONG: 11-26 06:00 → 11-26 09:35 (3.6h)
Entry: $139.30, Exit: $136.47 P&L: -2.03% ($-3.25) [SL_HIT]
SOL SHORT: 11-26 12:00 → 11-26 18:20 (6.3h)
Entry: $137.07, Exit: $141.98 P&L: -3.58% ($-5.65) [SL_HIT]
SOL LONG: 11-27 00:00 → 11-28 01:20 (25.3h)
Entry: $143.17, Exit: $140.49 P&L: -1.87% ($-2.86) [SL_HIT]
SOL SHORT: 11-28 06:00 → 11-28 14:35 (8.6h)
Entry: $140.40, Exit: $143.59 P&L: -2.27% ($-2.75) [SL_HIT]
SOL SHORT: 11-28 18:00 → 12-01 00:20 (54.3h)
Entry: $137.15, Exit: $132.27 P&L: +3.56% ($+5.27) [TP_HIT]
ETH LONG: 11-29 18:00 → 12-01 00:20 (30.3h)
Entry: $2,972.50, Exit: $2,930.60 P&L: -1.41% ($-2.10) [SL_HIT]
🤖 Getting LLM decisions...
⚠️ LLM returned null confidence for BTC, setting to 0
⚠️ LLM returned null confidence for ETH, setting to 0
⚠️ LLM returned null confidence for SOL, setting to 0
AVAX:
→ SHORT
Reasoning: Strong bearish setup: -13.10% period decline (worst performer), bearish EMA trend (price below EMA20 & EMA50), RSI(14) extremely oversold at 21.9 suggesting potential bounce BUT in strong downtrend, oversold RSI can indicate continuation. Price at $12.91 below EMA20 ($13.04) and EMA50 ($13.87). Recent candles show stagnation at lows. In bear market, favor shorts on oversold bounces. Entry on weak bounce toward EMA20 resistance. 2 confirmation signals: 1) Bearish EMA structure, 2) Oversold RSI in downtrend = continuation opportunity.
Confidence: 65%
Allocation: 20.0%
Leverage: 3x
Exit Plan: Target next support at $12.20 (5.5% downside from entry). Stop loss at $13.50 (4.6% above entry) for 1.2:1 R/R. Using 1.5x ATR ($0.04) = $0.06 stop, but widening to $13.50 for key resistance. Close early if RSI(14) moves above 40 with bullish divergence or price reclaims $13.50 with volume. Monitor for potential dead cat bounce.
📊 Position sizing:
Account value: $193.65
Allocation: 20.0% ($38.73 margin)
Leverage: 3x
Current price: $12.91
Size: 9.0000 coins
Notional value: $116.19
⚠️ Skipping AVAX: asset at open interest cap
BTC:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: BTC shows bearish EMA structure (price below EMA50, EMA20 below EMA50) with -2.43% period decline. RSI(14) at 55.1 suggests neutral momentum, not oversold. Recent 8h candles show consolidation after decline, but no clear reversal signal. Price is trading between EMA20 ($86,403) and EMA50 ($87,149). In bearish market structure, need stronger confirmation for short entry (RSI not overbought, no clear breakdown). Better to wait for clearer signal.
Confidence: 0%
ETH:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: Currently holding SHORT position at $2,742.80 (current $2,824, -2.96% P&L). Position is still valid: bearish EMA trend (price below EMA50, EMA20 below EMA50), -6.17% period decline. RSI(7) at 68.4 shows recent bounce but not yet overbought. Price remains below key resistance at $2,850 (SL level). TP at $2,600 aligns with next support. Trust existing TP/SL orders - no thesis invalidation yet. Close only if price breaks above $2,850 with volume.
Confidence: 0%
SOL:
→ HOLD
Reasoning: Currently holding SHORT position at $126.08 (current $128.26, -1.73% P&L). Position remains valid: bearish EMA trend (price below EMA50, EMA20 below EMA50), -6.32% period decline. RSI(7) at 63.9 shows bounce but not overbought. Price is testing EMA20 resistance at $127.30. TP at $120.50 aligns with next support. SL at $130.50 provides 1.6:1 R/R. No thesis invalidation - trust existing orders. Close only if price breaks above $130.50 with momentum.
Confidence: 0%
💾 Database saved: run_id=99
1 order(s) executed
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